Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (196347)	4/14/2009 10:23:46 PM
From: jmiller099	Respond to of 306849

Started buying gold three weeks ago. Sure was late to that party! I also disagree with his 1,100 forecast and expectation that tech will lead us up in this year.

To: stockman_scott who wrote (196347)	4/14/2009 11:17:29 PM
From: Skeeter Bug	Respond to of 306849

this dude should define "cheap." i think the market was quite expensive based on pe ratios and the rough time ahead - not the hope everyone is currently pimping.

To: stockman_scott who wrote (196347)	4/14/2009 11:21:49 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 306849

The economy turned up almost a year before the October 2002 low. -------------------------------------------------------------- From July 2007: What's next for the market? If Leuthold is right, the next step is a bear market but not a catastrophic one. On average, the stock market suffers a bear market -- defined as a drop of 20% in major indexes, such as the S&P 500 -- every four or five years. During an average bear market, the S&P loses about 25% of its value. It usually takes 11 to 18 months for the market to hit bottom. Every generation, investors suffer a cataclysmic bear market. In both the 1973-74 and 2000-02 bear markets, stocks plunged almost 50%. During the Great Depression, the market was down 89% at its worst. But Leuthold expects the declines to be tempered this time around. First, stocks aren't ridiculously overpriced, as they were in early 2000. And although economic growth appears to be slowing, the most recent figure on the pace of expansion showed the economy to be quite healthy, thank you (gross domestic product expanded 3.4% in the second quarter). "Besides, we just had one of those big bear markets," Zender says. kiplinger.com