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To: Herb Fuller who wrote (33477)10/27/1997 9:24:00 AM
From: Teddy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58324
 
**OT** Herb, i think gold prices have been driven down by short selling for a long time now, i expect they will soon cover, and go long and we will see a rally in gold prices.
Gold Plunges to 12-Year Low On Swiss Plan to Pare Reserves

An INTERACTIVE JOURNAL News Roundup

Gold futures prices plunged to 12-year lows Friday after a Swiss panel of
experts formally recommended selling more than half the country's gold
reserves, which would flood the market and could lead other countries to
follow suit.

News of the Swiss National Bank's proposal pushed gold for December
delivery down $16.10, or 4.9%, to $308.30 -- a level last seen in
February 1985.

Proposed changes in Switzerland's monetary policy unveiled Friday would
allow the Swiss National Bank to allocate 1,400 metric tons of its 2,600
tons of gold reserves for purposes other than stabilizing the Swiss franc.
That raised immediate fears that some of the gold would be sold on the
open market.

The Swiss plan, released by a panel created by the central bank and the
Swiss finance ministry, was particularly unsettling to investors after gold
failed to post substantial gains on Thursday, despite financial uncertainties
that swept through global markets after the Hong Kong stock market
plunged. December gold rose just $1.10 an ounce Thursday in New
York.

Gold often gains sharply at times of financial uncertainties because it has
been seen in the past as a so-called safe-haven investment.

But the Swiss plan dominated trading on Friday. Under the monetary plan,
seven billion Swiss francs ($4.78 billion) of gold would be initially
earmarked for a proposed fund that would be used for humanitarian
purposes, including paying compensation to Holocaust victims. The
humanitarian fund hasn't yet been sanctioned by Parliament.

The Swiss National Bank has traditionally valued its 2,600 tons of gold at
an extremely conservative 4,595 francs per kilogram, compared with a
market price of close to 17,000 francs. The revaluation would bring
current gold reserves closer to their market value of 44 billion francs from
the 11.9 billion francs currently audited.

The finance ministry's proposals for the revision of the country's monetary
constitution will now be submitted to Parliament. A vote there and an
ensuing referendum aren't expected until Spring 1999, at the earliest. The
Swiss people's vote will likely be a de facto decision on the future of the
Humanitarian Fund, which has run into some public opposition in the past.

The possibility of such a sale could prompt other countries to cash in on
their gold reserves and use the proceeds to invest in higher-yielding
investments, said analyst Bette Raptopoulos at Prudential Securities Inc.

"It's a lot of gold that the Swiss are talking about," she said. "But the real
issue that has shaken the market is that this diminishes long-standing
central bank commitments to gold and their reserves and opens the door
to a flood of countries selling their inventories."
Check out the last few paragraphs of this similar story:
biz.yahoo.com

My guesss is that this is just the latest in a series of attempts to drive the price of gold
down.... i think that in 6 to 12 months the shorts will cover and go long and drive gold
over $450 an ounce.



To: Herb Fuller who wrote (33477)10/27/1997 9:28:00 AM
From: Tom Gebing  Respond to of 58324
 
Herb - Gold is sinking because the cental banks are selling surplus.. Even the Swiss....



To: Herb Fuller who wrote (33477)10/27/1997 2:44:00 PM
From: Paul Angell  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58324
 
Herb,

I am 100 posts behind as usual. - Gold is tanking because the Swiss are selling off their gold reserves. With the current state of the world's stock markets you would think that gold would be going the other way so there must be a serious over-supply situation right now.

Interesting that gold also went down in 1987 market correction. I will dig up a link later if you need one.

Paul.