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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (197043)4/20/2009 1:45:14 PM
From: ajtj99Respond to of 306849
 
skeeter, I thought 835 SPX would be the maximum downside today, and we nearly hit that area. I think the upside this afternoon will likely be contained by 845 SPX.

I initially thought the downside to this move would be contained by the 812-825 SPX zone. However, there is now a Head and Shoulders top possible on the SPX with a neckline at 835 SPX. That formation, if we get a right shoulder, targets about 795 SPX. That's also a .382 re-trace off the highs, so it would make sense to visit that zone.

A fractal pattern I'm following would limit a drop to around 803 SPX, so I'm a bit uncertain about a landing zone other than it's below this area.