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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Rarebird who wrote (102925)	5/1/2009 2:41:36 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

The best kind of action is when really bad news is ignored. Note also that the broad commodity indexes are rallying sharply now after lagging stocks for many weeks. DBC -- the commodity tracking fund -- up nearly 3% today but still far behind the rally in equities. Much better risk/reward ratio than stocks IMHO.

To: Rarebird who wrote (102925)	5/1/2009 2:46:52 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Respond to of 110194

A badly stung UNG bull now skeptical about the rally. Just the kind of thing I like to see, MID-DAY MINUTE BY MIKE PAULENOFF: By Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com In sympathy with today's upmove in crude oil, natural gas prices have lifted, too, off of their extremely oversold condition, which also has lifted the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG) from yesterday's Double Bottom low at 12.69 above key near-term resistance at 13.80. Whether or not today's up-spike is the beginning of a sustainable recovery phase remains to be seen. One thing is for certain: the oversold condition supports a recovery rally to 15.50 at a minimum from current levels; however, I have seen firsthand that more than an extreme oversold condition is required to sustain an upmove in the UNG. I will watch from the sidelines for a while longer to see if today's upmove holds, or if the micro pattern carved-out from 12.69 exhibits bullish form, either of which will compel me to re-enter the long side.