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To: Tommaso who wrote (77617)5/4/2009 4:55:08 PM
From: Keith FeralRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 118717
 
Rising interest rates are very bullish for the market, since it signals economic health. The FED was begging people to take money out of the market through 2007 when the yield curve was inverted. Now, the FED is begging people to put money back to work with interest rates near zero. If history is any indication, we really don't have to worry about the market until the yield curve gets inverted and the FED starts to ease rates again.

I see a good decade ahead, following the past 10 years of negative returns for the markets from 2000 to 2009. Actually, it's been a negative 25% return over the past 9 years. 12K to 8K.



To: Tommaso who wrote (77617)5/4/2009 5:28:25 PM
From: Cogito Ergo SumRespond to of 118717
 
No that one bear view expects the USD to crash because the Fed does so too late and too big as a result.... Some of this last month's exuberance could have stood with a little reigning in ? It's in the timing.. They are not likely to err on the side of caution though.. my fear..

Be nice to see them get it right.. from my position on the fence :O)

I don't want to be a bear.. but I want to preserve my capital..

TBS

Would have been a biatch to be short this market..

There are all kinds of bear views..
Vi USD to Zero.. hyperinflation
Tobago Jack Financial reset but some arise from the ashes..
AndEverOn Just shoot me... It's all over now Baby Blue... Get some Chickens and pigs... Leave the city



To: Tommaso who wrote (77617)5/4/2009 5:28:31 PM
From: SoberRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717
 
Is there any chance that this market run up is in anyway partially in response to forward thinking that if (when) the dollar is devalued, that the current prices of stocks would be even more undervalued unless they get adjusted for the dollar decline...

or to put it another way,,, is this price increase in my stocks going to leave me about even, in real dollar terms, if (when) the dollar is devalued?

Is the market looking ahead to dollar devaluation and also thinking that the markets have over-shot to the downside, and the combination of the two is propelling the adjustment upward...

If not, where is the positive driving sentiment coming from?

Sober