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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (49703)5/6/2009 8:12:03 PM
From: KyrosL5 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218070
 
I find a lot of logic problems with your musings too. That's why I am trying to provide some counterbalance. Let's watch indeed.

My scenario says the world will have plenty of difficulties in the next decade or so, but in the end the US will not be substantially worse off than today, China will be a lot better off than today, simply because it is still so far down, and gold will not be much more than it is today, inflation adjusted. World inflation will probably hit middle-single digits in a few years but in a decade will probably be back to low single digits.

There is a low probability of a "dark interregnum". If it happens, the US will come out the clear winner out of it, and China will be a big loser. China is far more fractally unstable than the US, and dark interregnums generate mighty shocks.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (49703)5/6/2009 10:10:44 PM
From: Snowshoe1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218070
 
>>so rare that they should be preserved posthumoulsy in a gherkin jar for posterity<<

Player #2 gets bonus points for use of colorful terminology in a financial discussion. ;)