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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KyrosL who wrote (49730)5/7/2009 8:55:09 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217825
 
<<Price of gold. Has it increased more than officially reported US CPI?>>

... gold will have hit high, i will have sold at the top, and reinvested in hk real estate, and the result will make the us cpi accumulation seem insignificant.

<<US GDP. Is it lower than inflation adjusted 2009 GDP?>>

... us gdp will be no more than 10% of global gdp, if that, and standard of living will reflect same new circumstances, bang on, say around adjusted 1952 true level, if that, after the big reversion to the nasty mean.

<<US CPI. Has it increased annually at more than 4%? My guess is an average of 3.5%>>

... average means nothing, because it can go very negative - bankrupt many - and then very positive - bankrupting many more, or very positive - zimbabwe like- and then very negative - argentina-ish;

much like having one foot in boiling hot water and another in icy liquid nitrogen, on average a very comfortable room temperature foot bath.



To: KyrosL who wrote (49730)5/7/2009 9:05:50 AM
From: TobagoJack4 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217825
 
let me see, usa federal fiscal budget around 3.5 tril, more than half to be financed by debt and debt monitization, and the rest to be culled from the real economy via soon to be outrageous tax burden, all set against a relatively puny and fiat money bloated false economy of no particular merit fraudulently accounted for at 13 tril, which needs overseas influx of a few billion per day from sources that will soon enough not be there, even as folks are effectively bankrupted in the just happened drama and dramas already baked in, and the whole rot edging toward must-make-good on the 54 tril off-balance sheet promises to be paid to oldsters by exacting from the youngsters

and all the while as the politics turn progressively regressive, toward anti-capitalism and for-socialism;

and the growth will be usual, and all will be fine?!

is that a fair description of your hope?

you are optimistic with the math :0) and very extremely funny.