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Strategies & Market Trends : Longer-Term Market Trends -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Perspective who wrote (2168)	5/7/2009 5:21:06 PM
From: morokko65	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3209

I still keep looking at this: the-privateer.com seems that the hangover should be proportional to the party, simplistic FA perhaps, but that chart and Allan's comments from early to mid 2008 established the best road map I have seen, and made me great money via USPIX this guy was also helpful: stockcharts.com[s144533062]&disp=P $VIX looks like a run to 48 is possible, with another trip to 80 as an ouside chance today may have just been the first shot across the bow for the rally out of march, looking for a low volume bounce (probably a wedge type structure........)

To: Perspective who wrote (2168)	5/8/2009 9:54:50 PM
From: skinowski	1 Recommendation Respond to of 3209

In 1999 one could IPO dogshit, and it would fly - provided it had a web site. The euphoria was at a level which today is hard to imagine. Personally, I think it makes sense that the super bubbly great top broke in 2000. As a result, our infinitely wise (ass) leaders went berserk fighting "deflation" -- which, in turn, provided the needed ingredients for the credit bubble. 2000-02 Bear was very substantial. OTC was devastated, and even SPX lost about 50% As I look at the monthly chart of SPX I cannot help thinking that the two great tops are part of the same structure. A great economy like the one we have would necessarily take a long time as it enters a period of volatility and rolls over into a secular bear stage.