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Non-Tech : Bill Wexler's Trading Cabana -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (5466)5/27/2009 6:48:22 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 6370
 
By today, the interest rate bet begins to throw off money; but that was a sickening trip towards 1% which broke down after relatively good economic numbers. Next up, a rate hike further out should be priced in. I can´t conceive a scenario in which the fed holds the rate far below 1 into late 2010.

The markets are choking on freshly issued paper, and much of it has been issued on the short end of the curve (like 2Y) almost immediately backfeeding into the 2010 maturities of Libor.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (5466)6/5/2009 10:17:45 AM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6370
 
My interest rate bet gained 26 points alone today.
The rates have now risen 50 points.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (5466)6/8/2009 3:53:18 AM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6370
 
By today appearently confirmation has been made that rates rise: in the June 2010 maturity, the 2% level which was well supported over six months has been taken out. The friday move was one which has not been seen since Sept 08.