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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bruiser98 who wrote (4529)5/15/2009 12:37:31 AM
From: Walkingshadow1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4904
 
No, not $VXO either.

On a single day in late January 1995, $VXO was hovering around 12 or so. Intraday, it evidently briefly dipped down to 7.23, then reverted back to the 12 range and closed there. This is so out of range it actually looks for all the world like an error in the database (see below).

Aside from this one suspect day, the lowest the $VXO ever got was 9.12 in July 2005 and 8.99 in January 2007.

The implication that 8 is a reasonable level for the VIX or the VXO is just not true. That is a very extreme reading that has never been attained. The VIX and VXO closed today around 31. The assertion that, for some unstated reason, the VIX (or the VXO) will soon be at 8 (which implies a tremendous rally must occur) is absurd.