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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (8018)	10/27/1997 10:17:00 PM
From: Defrocked	Respond to of 94695

Great Question got me thinking ahead (which could be dangerous. But its not so depressing.) IMHO long bond bounces off 5.50%-5.75%, no lower due to threat of reflation and next year's ballooning deficit. The short end down to 4% initially. Results in a reasonable upward sloping yield curve implying markets concern for threat of inflation. Forecast is at risk if Japanese dump bonds. But the global demand for dollars could actually help here. As tekgk pointed out, we have ourselves a potentially huge economic battle looming between Japan and the US. techstocks.com My response was techstocks.com The economic battle being fought today is directly related to Japan's intransigence in tackling real estate loan problems as the US did with the S&L's. Indirectly the battle being fought may be related to the future competitiveness of the Chip industry. (Wow, that's a Machiavellian thought...where did that come from<g>)