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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (34561)5/21/2009 11:33:57 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78717
 
Natural Gas Falls 9.2% as Demand Is Missing
Natural-gas futures continued their wild ride as a report on gas storage sparked new worries that demand isn't recovering as quickly as some traders predicted.

On Thursday, prices dropped 9.2% -- the biggest percentage decline since August 2007 -- as rising inventories in a weekly storage report from the Energy Information Administration spooked traders. Gas settled at $3.603 per million British thermal units at the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Gas stockpiles rose by 103 billion cubic feet from the previous week.....

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The ratio of the price of NG (per 1M BTU) to Oil (per barrel) historically averages 6.



At $3.60/1M BTU we are well in the "Sell Oil/Buy Natural Gas" zone. With oil at $60/barrel NG s/b priced around $10/1M BTU......NG closed today at $3.60/1M BTU.

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There has to be some value opportunities in the NG sector.

Got any ideas for value NG picks perhaps with a utility twist?

I have been thinking about Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) which you have mentioned but was a bit timid when I heard that the Venezuelan government seized (and plans to nationalize) their NG compression and storage facilities valued around $250 Million.

Venezuelan Government Seizes Williams' Operations - May 8, 2009
reuters.com

Their other domestic NG assets look quite attractive but their dividend is only yielding 2.7%. Stock is up 65% from their lows in March.

EKS



To: Spekulatius who wrote (34561)5/26/2009 11:49:48 AM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78717
 
Fill for me today for a first buy of utility SCG.

si.advfn.com^SCG



To: Spekulatius who wrote (34561)6/3/2009 1:56:04 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78717
 
I also added to my Centerpoint Energy Inc. (CNP) below $10.00/share. My strategy is to let the stock run a bit higher and then sell some November $10.00 covered calls. With the buy write strategy I should be able to generate a 14% return. The company is well positioned as regulated utility to service their NG pipeline distribution business and efficient electric grid power line business.

EKS