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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (112126)	5/28/2009 2:14:09 PM
From: Sultan	Respond to of 541957

If Obama wins 2nd term, odds are probably good.. I do hope it happens.. We need smart and empathic women in position of power.. :o)

To: Dale Baker who wrote (112126)	5/28/2009 5:25:37 PM
From: Win Smith	Respond to of 541957

Looking up ages, the oldest justices are Stevens (89) and Ginsberg (76), both moderate / liberal; I guess Ginsberg would might be likely to retire next for health reasons. Scalia is 73, third oldest but I'd figure most likely to hold on for a conservative replacement if at all feasible; he seems like the most dogmatic and least diplomatic of the justices. Clarence Thomas is only 60; I have the feeling that his personal resentments are such that he is about as likely as Scalia to step down giving a chance of a liberal replacement, which is to say, not likely at all. Barring a bolt-from-the-blue health crisis, I'd say it's a pretty safe bet the Scalia-Thomas-Alito-Roberts block will outlast Obama's term in office.