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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (87642)5/30/2009 3:32:37 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Yes. It's a short term options trade, as usual, and here
is the trade setup. I'm a trader in a trading account.
I unloaded 1/3 of my miners as well, in addition to unloading
some 20% of miners in February. I still hold a boat of
gold miners since I was buying last year into decline, and
really loaded the boat when gold stocks crashed. I also
had call options on XAU at that point in my trading account.
I did not unload any gold and silver, nor do I plan to, but
lately I have been selling miners into this rally. -g-

The trade setup: HUI had 2 large gaps and hit 400 strong
resistance Yesterday. It is likely the gaps will be closed.
While I'm not a good gold timer, bad timers are bullish and
excellent timers are bearish, which has me concerned. Rarebird
predicted the gold crash last year. He is predicting a
significant slump this Summer as well. Ditto Mark Faber.

You ask why? Economic recovery, or green shoots, or whatever.
Gold is a weird metal. It does not always like it, and my
sense is this time it won't. I am bullish on gold longer
term, but I anticipate a significant correction in the
next 2-3 months.

Message 25680365



To: carranza2 who wrote (87642)5/30/2009 3:54:24 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 94695
 
FWIW, miners had a huge rally since last Fall. There is
also "think like a criminal" explanation.

With all the talk about USD, US credit rating, and a pretty
large lopsided speculator long position on Comex, with
Summers now in charge, and with gold having about 2 months
of the weak season left, it seems like a perfect time for
them to strike. You know who they are. -g-