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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Trading post-bankruptcy bounces -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCoolG who wrote (65)6/4/2009 3:43:40 AM
From: RockyBalboa1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93
 
That what I was thinking; if something is expected to happen and priced in, the markets shall not move;

Example: GM filed Ch.11 and the market actually went up as if nothing happened.

By the way: the CDS settlements for FNM and FRE were the lowest on record - with reference bonds valued at 95 to 99.5%; so the payout was minimal in FRE, FNM.

Lehman was on the other side of the spectrum with reference bonds valued at 8%:

Why I think such a crash is not possible right now:

The october incidents occurred because of the perceived consequences of Libor at +400 over fed funds etc (which again was a the result of the failure of money markets, which again was the result of general distrust).

But when is such a crash possible again:

Similar to 2008 when commodities went bananas - the fed , and other CBs will have to drain money, big time to stop a liquidity bubble from growing too big; and to break momentum this drain must be severe and fast.



To: LLCoolG who wrote (65)6/8/2009 1:50:10 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 93
 
You pay your mortgage. Rates rise. You keep paying. Rates
rise some more. You are in dire straights, keep paying.
Now the lender says give it all back. You can't.

Ouch.

Depends on who wrote these contracts. I'm not betting the
farm on it anyhow. My problem is that every auction
was claimed to be a non-event. If this indeed was the
case, then why did the market tank into every one of them?
The first one would be enough.