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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bearcatbob who wrote (9129)	6/6/2009 12:41:15 PM
From: Brumar89	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 86356

Interactive graphs forecast World Demand for energy and for oil under various assumptions For electric vehicles by 2020, you can choose 14%, 25% or 50% of total - you see hardly any change in energy demand. For light vehicle fuel efficiency - if all vehicles in all countries move to EU efficiency stds by 2020 - again only a small change in energy demand. McKinsey has prepared a fairly cool and absolutely sobering interactive graphic that shows the impact of four variables -- global GDP, the fuel efficiency of light vehicles, the market share of electric vehicles over time, and regulation -- on global demand for energy and for oil until 2020, in each case broken down by developed and developing countries. Under any scenario -- including a severe economic downturn accompanied by much more efficiency and much more regulation (which may not, in the end, be compatible objectives) -- we are going to need a lot more of both. McKinsey's forecast is especially sobering insofar as the firm has put itself, as an organization, squarely in the "climate change is real and dangerous" camp. tigerhawk.blogspot.com mckinseyquarterly.com Lesson - demand for energy and for oil is gonna continue to grow. I agree with this comment: By Kinuachdrach, at Thu Jun 04, 11:34:00 PM: No surprise here. We live in a world where the population is growing, and where 2/3 of the human race is stuggling to climb out of poverty (i.e. increase their energy demand). We live in a world where the frugal French (they're European, you know) consume more oil than the whole continent of Africa. The only surprise is that anyone is surprised that global human energy demand is going to grow -- under any scenario short of the coming of the 4 horsemen of the Apocalypse. Fortunately, there is an answer -- nuclear fission, proven technology for which there are known resources able to supply the whole human race with adequate power for about 2 millenia. Unfortunately, the western Political Class would rather you froze in the dark. But the Chinese will survive, as (surprisingly) will the nuclear-friendly French.