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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (87778)6/7/2009 9:28:23 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 94695
 
I did. A credit event, GM CDS auction this Friday, over 1
Trillion notional.

I am not bearish at this point intermediate term, cause
Fed printing will likely lift these markets. I have
not been bearish on the markets for this very reason,
and expect this credit event to provide a needed sharp
pull back. I don't expect the market to go to new lows,
and I do expect gold to soar this Fall season starting
July/August to new highs around 1300 or higher.

The story here is... Banana Republic USA. Look at
Zimbabwian stock market. I expect oil will be back
to new all-time highs a lot sooner than SP500.

Unless the New Administration gets it act together
and provide the needed restructuring of US economy, as opposed
to more heroine (liquidity) to a drug addict (financial
system), I expect the crisis will get worse, not
better. That despite soaring stock prices, which will be
a signature of the crisis from now on. We will have
a very high inflation, and if more heroine is provided
to the drug addict, eventually hyperinflation with prices
soaring 25-100% a day



To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (87778)6/7/2009 11:53:54 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
FWIW, an old and scary note. The correct way to plot
gold price is as an inverse - it's the US dollar that's
dropping against gold, not gold that is soaring. The
monthly chart of USD in gold terms is linear and goes
to zero in 2011. This would mean hyperinflation in 2011.

fx.sauder.ubc.ca*&fd=1&fm=1&fy=2001&ld=31&lm=12&ly=2009&y=monthly&q=volume&f=png&a=lin&m=0&x=