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Biotech / Medical : Novacare (NOV) breaking out... -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E. Graphs who wrote (155)10/28/1997 10:09:00 AM
From: Todd D. Wiener  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 420
 
Analysis from Q4 to Q1:

Rehab revs increased 6%, NCES revs increased 19%. Those are good numbers.

Gross profit increased 4% for rehab, 46% for NCES. Cost of sales were higher for rehab in Q1 than in Q4. Overall gross profit increased 6%.

SG&A increased 13.7% for rehab (oops!), 46% for NCES (good cost control). Overall SG&A increased 15.2%.

EBITDA DECREASED 7.3% for rehab (damn than overhead!), increased 45% for NCES. Overall EBITDA DECREASED 4.4%.

Operating income DECREASED 8.6%.

Pretax income DECREASED 14.6%.

Net income DECREASED 15.7%.

I'm not impressed.

Todd



To: E. Graphs who wrote (155)10/30/1997 7:15:00 PM
From: Todd D. Wiener  Respond to of 420
 
I bought some November calls today (15 strike). NOV seems to be holding at its 200-day MA, although it's struggling a bit. The stock should breakout next week, because the downtrend and the moving average are currently converging, and I expect resolution. It will be interesting to see what effect NCES will have on NOV. It should help NOV go higher. I still believe in $18 by year-end. Based on the historical chart, now is the time to buy more NOV.

Todd