U.S. Auto Sales Slide as GM & Toyota Miss Estimates (Update1)
By Jeff Green and Keith Naughton
July 1 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. auto sales in June again failed to reach a 10 million annual pace as General Motors Corp. and Toyota Motor Corp. fell short of analyst estimates, suggesting that the industry hasn’t started to rebound yet.
The annual rate fell to 9.69 million cars and light trucks last month, from 9.9 million in May and 13.7 million in June 2008, Autodata Corp. said. Total sales fell 28 percent, to 859,847 vehicles, the 20th straight monthly decline, the Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey-based company said.
Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had projected that the annual pace for June would climb above 10 million for the first time this year. GM blamed its worse-than-expected results on a new U.S. program to spur trade-ins of older vehicles, saying that kept some buyers on the sidelines. The company said its June 1 bankruptcy filing also scared off some customers.
“We are somewhat disappointed that the SAAR came in around 9.9 million,” Mike DiGiovanni, sales analyst at Detroit-based GM, old reporters today on a conference call before the final figures were tallied. “We’ve got these strong headwinds.”
Declines at GM, Toyota and Chrysler Group LLC that were wider than analysts had estimated offset better-than-expected results at Ford Motor Co., Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co.
Sales dropped 42 percent from a year earlier at Chrysler, 34 percent at GM and 32 percent at Toyota. Chrysler, which exited bankruptcy during June, cited an end to most sales to fleet customers such as rental companies for its drop.
Traffic ‘Fell Off’
“Traffic definitely fell off during the last 10 days of the month,” said David Fischer, owner of 30 auto franchises, mostly in Michigan and Florida. “In my opinion, it was because of consumers waiting to understand the cash-for-clunkers law.”
Ford’s deliveries fell 11 percent last month, according to a statement today from the Dearborn, Michigan-based company. The declines were 23 percent for Nissan and 30 percent for Honda.
“We expect to see a lot of volatility,” said George Pipas, Ford’s sales analyst. “Some of the things we’re seeing we’ve never seen before in the history of the industry.”
Ford’s decline was 14 percent adjusted for one more sales day than in June 2008, compared with the average estimate of 17 percent from five analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Tokyo-based Nissan’s adjusted decline was 26 percent, after three analysts estimated an average of 28 percent. Honda was down 32 percent on that basis, while the average estimate was 35 percent.
Toyota, GM Declines
Toyota’s adjusted decline was 35 percent, higher than the 32 percent average of three analysts. At GM, adjusted sales tumbled 36 percent, compared with a 30 percent average estimate.
The sales decline for this year’s first six months was the worst since at least 1976, according to Bloomberg data.
Tight credit is still holding down sales and may reduce the annual total by as many as 2 million vehicles, GM’s DiGiovanni said. “There’s no question credit is hurting our market.”
The industry may get a boost in the second half from the new government program to offer as much as $4,500 in credits for new-vehicle buyers who turn in older, less fuel-efficient models to be scrapped,” Brian Johnson, a Barclays Capital analyst in Chicago, wrote in a June 29 report.
A slowing of the rise in unemployment also may aid auto sales. Job-cut announcements in June fell 9 percent from a year earlier to 74,393, the fewest in more than a year, Chicago-based placement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. reported today. It was the first such decrease since February 2008.
‘Turn the Corner’
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said yesterday that the U.S. economy may be about to “turn the corner” and repeated that she expects the recession, which began in December 2007, to end later this year.
The analysts’ company estimates are adjusted for one more sales day last month than in June 2008, and some automakers report results on that basis. Bloomberg uses unadjusted figures, which for June would be about 4 percentage points better than the adjusted numbers.
A 10 million annual sales pace would have helped GM and Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler, which have tried to adjust their costs to break even at that rate. U.S. deliveries totaled 13.2 million last year and averaged 16.8 million from 2000 through 2007.
Chrysler’s government-backed reorganization ended after just 42 days, and GM is on a similar path. GM Chief Executive Officer Fritz Henderson said yesterday that President Barack Obama’s administration may withdraw support if the judge doesn’t approve the sale of some assets to a new GM by July 10.
GM reported sales of 174,785 cars and light trucks in June, a drop from 262,329 a year earlier. The decline was 24 percent for cars and 40 percent for light trucks.
Ford Tops Toyota
Ford, passed by Toyota in annual U.S. sales in 2007, outsold the Toyota City-based company for the third month in a row and leads the Japanese automaker for this year’s first half.
Ford’s total sales fell to 155,195 vehicles from 174,091 a year earlier. Sales of its cars declined 17 percent in June, while the Fusion mid-size sedan had a 26 percent gain. Mustang sales were down 30 percent and F-Series pickup trucks, Ford’s biggest seller, fell 7.4 percent.
Chrysler said it sold 68,297 cars and trucks, down from 117,457 a year earlier, as sales to retail customers fell 16 percent and sales to business fleets tumbled 95 percent.
Asian Automakers
Toyota sold 131,654 new vehicles, dropping from 193,234 a year earlier, according to the company’s statement. Sales of cars tumbled 36 percent.
Consumer confidence is still the biggest hurdle to auto sales, Toyota U.S. Vice President Bob Carter said on a conference call.
Honda’s total dropped to 100,420 from 142,538, according to a statement on the Tokyo-based company’s Web site. Car sales were down 41 percent.
Nissan’s U.S. sales for June totaled 58,298 cars and light trucks, compared with 75,847 a year earlier, Al Castignetti, U.S. vice president for the company, said in a telephone interview.
“Sales still haven’t recovered in terms of sheer volume numbers, but things are stabilizing,” Castignetti said.
Seoul-based Hyundai Motor Co., South Korea’s largest automaker, reported a 24 percent decline to 37,943 vehicles.
To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan at jgreen16@bloomberg.net; Keith Naughton in Southfield, Michigan at Knaughton3@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: July 1, 2009 18:33 EDT |