Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: robnhood who wrote (164334)	6/11/2009 9:20:23 PM
From: maxncompany	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 313662

"I figure the odds be fifty-fifty." .......Frank Zappa off The Overnight Sensation album May be better known for Dynamo Hum

To: robnhood who wrote (164334)	6/11/2009 9:43:56 PM
From: Proud Deplorable	Respond to of 313662

what about the other 50%?

To: robnhood who wrote (164334)	6/12/2009 2:30:33 AM
From: E. Charters	Respond to of 313662

It is easy to make correct predictions. You just look far enough ahead and be completely cynical. 7 year predictions are easy. 20 month predictions have a very poor rate of return. A simple way to maker predictions no more than 50% inaccurate is to keep it simple. The market or any stock is either going up or going down. If you are wrong more than 50% of the time, you are doing something right, only making the wrong directional guess. Re adjust the sign of the variables and re calculate. You may have to blow a million in order to figure out the algorithm. People do make money in the market so it is not impossible. Most of the people who do are selling not buying. If you are buying not selling, perhaps you should change your modus. A great way to play the market is to do the exact opposite of what everyone else seems to be doing. You have to do it first. Unfortunately selling all the crap means shorting, and that has its problems and limitations. You have to have enough money to cover 50% of the high. You always make money if you are quick as there is a sell off 95% of the time. You should increase your short holdings as the stock peaks. It will peak as the volume decreases as the price increases. The volume times price stays the same, but the volume times price over the volume decreases, causing a slowing of momentum. Very, very few promotional driller continue to rise past 1.50. In that it is a very, very safe bet. EC<:-}