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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51348)	6/14/2009 7:36:14 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man	Respond to of 219848

typical, when one does not understand a principle and tries to apply it, it's oft a recipe for disaster

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51348)	6/14/2009 8:11:33 PM
From: prosperous	1 Recommendation Respond to of 219848

If you look at multi-year Dow chart below, it shows an expanding triangle (higher highs and lower lows), this is a very bearish pattern (just like we saw on SRS and other ultra ETFs that broke down) longer term. It can be traded for profit if one is careful but longer term, the risk of holding it is very high. I have been skeptical about those folks projecting extremely low Dow valuations but if we break down from this expanding triangle, the implications could be fairly dire on down side (in the 1-2K range). Based on how expanding triangles break down, they typically try to get one last jump into the expanding range then fail (we seem to be jumping into that range of expanding triangle right now). It seems the failure of this may be some time away (likely in 2011-12 time-frame) but long term investors need to watch their back. S&P multi-year chart shows less of expansion on positive side but shows similar lower lows, Dow is where traders have been more erratic in trading and kinda captures the essence of the trading sentiment that would provide key to where we are headed, in spite of the index interventions that replace GM with Cisco etc :-). finance.yahoo.com finance.yahoo.com

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51348)	6/15/2009 5:41:49 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 219848

TJ, the laws that rule the Universe applies to everything. The same rules that applies to galaxies, rules tiny particles. That because they originated form the same Big Bang. and rules men's deals too. For instance movement of inflation is subject to measuring it. As soon as you have a measure of where inflation is, at a given time, that very knowledge causes inflation to change. That because the fact that the market know where inflation is going and how fast it is moving, feeds the market that will cause, in its turn to affect inflation movement and speed.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51348)	6/15/2009 8:41:44 AM
From: dvdw©	Respond to of 219848

sample of a partial pair (found printed at Sliders) To: Enplusone! who wrote (17468) 6/9/2009 4:35:21 PM From: Enplusone! Read Replies (1) of 17822 Still no apparent increase in velocity number. Date Value 2008-09-24 1.520 2008-10-08 1.463 2008-10-22 1.231 2008-10-22 1.231 2008-11-05 1.193 2008-11-19 1.010 2008-12-03 1.025 2008-12-17 0.951 2008-12-31 0.944 2009-01-14 0.915 2009-01-28 0.885 2009-02-11 1.011 2009-02-25 0.956 2009-03-11 1.000 2009-03-25 0.902 2009-04-08 0.913 2009-04-22 0.862 2009-05-06 0.917 2009-05-20 0.867 research.stlouisfed.org