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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (207829)6/22/2009 4:24:21 PM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
TBT has been on Schwabs HTB list for the last three weeks - if not longer.

>>>* commodities and commodity currencies are going to get hammered.<<<

I will go with the commodity curriencies - the US dollar to be specific. I think that the jury is out on commodities. I think that the Chinese are making a stealth entry. I think that they were oversold so severly because the hedge funds were in forced sell-off mode. I doubt that they got that much leveraged on them in the last month. Maybe. I just don't think that the downward forces will be as great today as last fall. To be clear - we ae due a correction.

>>>* USTs and USD will be flight to safety (it is already happening). <<<

Boy that sure happened last time - and caught me asleep at the switch big time. This is also hard to predict. The piper of all of that "quantitative easing" has to be paid sometime. For now the US is losing the ugly baby contest when it comes to currencies. We may enter a circa 1931, post dead-cat-bounce, long grinding bear phase here. The flight to the buck was due to the Lehman panic. Is a slow grinding bear a panic and reason to flight to safety??? I don't know.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (207829)6/24/2009 3:01:47 PM
From: Siddhartha GautamaRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
what about housing? do u see another 50% down there too?