SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: axial who wrote (20995)6/27/2009 1:45:20 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71456
 
It is certainly true, the future is not determined. In my view
policy action causes reaction, and a different policy
action would cause a different reaction. Some errors were made
in the past, so now we'll have ugliness of some sort no
matter what, but the exact form of that ugliness will depend
on policy actions taken in the future, as well as policy
actions taken currently and in the past.

Right now we are staring at bankruptcy of the country,
either through hyperinflation or default. That is a result
of policy actions taken in the past. The way we go will depend
on policy actions taken in the future.

I don't really expect hyperinflation. Moderate expectation
would be more realistic.

Similar to GM, USA is bankrupt and needs restructuring. Less
bubbles, less financial engineering, more manufacturing
activity.



To: axial who wrote (20995)6/27/2009 4:04:44 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71456
 
TRIG, i think there is a difference between examining "possibilities" and "probabilities."

i do have to say that you would be a defense lawyers dream - creating all kinds of possibilities that were exceptionally improbable.

while it is *possible* we will pay down the debt, you can bet your life we won't ever balance the budget in your lifetime, let alone pay down a solitary nickel of real debt (unless we monetize the debt).