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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (68334)7/11/2009 9:56:50 PM
From: jlallen4 Recommendations  Respond to of 224744
 
This story will be part of the Bush-Cheney legacy.

I hope so. They kept us safe for almost 8 years after 9/11.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (68334)7/11/2009 11:43:45 PM
From: Hope Praytochange  Respond to of 224744
 
The Massachusetts Health Mess
In a rational world, the prognosis for ObamaCare would wait on the evidence
in Massachusetts, given that the commonwealth's 2006 program closely
resembles what Democrats are trying to do in Washington. If the results were
widely known, it might be dead on arrival.

The Massachusetts law, which was championed by former GOP Governor Mitt
Romney, imposed an individual mandate, requiring nearly all residents to buy
health insurance or else pay a penalty. (The exceptions are those who
qualify for the state's public program.) This was supposed to cover
everybody and save money too. We've written before about how costs have
exploded, but it also turns out that consumers have other ideas.

For 15 years Massachusetts has also imposed mandates known as guaranteed
issue and community rating -- meaning that insurers must cover anyone who
applies, regardless of health or pre-existing conditions, and also charge
everyone the same premium (or close to it). Yet these mandates allow people
to wait until they're sick, or just before they're about to incur major
medical expenses, to buy insurance. This drives up costs for everyone else,
which helps explain why small-group coverage in Massachusetts is so much
more expensive than in most of the country. Mr. Romney argued -- as
Democrats are arguing now -- that the individual mandate would make that
problem disappear, since everyone is always supposed to be covered.

Well, the returns are rolling in, and a useful case study comes from the
community-based health plan Harvard-Pilgrim. CEO Charlie Baker reports that
his company has seen an "astonishing" uptick in people buying coverage for a
few months at a time, running up high medical bills, and then dumping the
policy after treatment is completed and paid for. Harvard-Pilgrim estimates
that between April 2008 and March 2009, about 40% of its new enrollees
stayed with it for fewer than five months and on average incurred about
$2,400 per person in monthly medical expenses. That's about 600% higher than
Harvard-Pilgrim would have otherwise expected.

The individual mandate penalty for not having coverage is only about $900,
so people seem to be gaming the Massachusetts system. "This is a problem,"
Mr. Baker writes on his blog, in the understatement of the year. "It is
raising the prices paid by individuals and small businesses who are doing
the right thing by purchasing twelve months of health insurance, and it's
turning the whole notion of shared responsibility on its ear."

Mr. Baker is right, though he underestimates the extent to which it is
rational for people to do this, considering the government-mandated
incentives. To one degree or another all insurance pools require the younger
and healthier to subsidize the older and sicker, though part of the
risk-sharing bargain is the hedge against unanticipated or future health
problems -- i.e., true insurance. The combination of guaranteed issue and
community rating actively encourages parts of the healthier population to
forgo coverage and thus blow up voluntary risk pools. No doubt our
politicians will conclude that the solution is to raise the penalty for
going uninsured, though it would be easier and more rational to let
insurance markets function without mandates.

For many Democrats, none of this is really a surprise, or even important.
Their Rube Goldberg rules are meant to transfer the costs of health care
away from individuals and onto someone else -- private companies like
Harvard-Pilgrim in the short term, and over time onto taxpayers. Why
lobbyist Karen Ignagni is still putting the health-insurance industry's head
on the Washington chopping block is a mystery for the ages.

online.wsj.com