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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (21392)7/16/2009 9:26:14 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man  Respond to of 71427
 
CRIMEX



To: Real Man who wrote (21392)7/16/2009 9:46:41 PM
From: ayn rand2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71427
 
excellent post!

here is more continuing from your jesse link that is good enough to post in full:

Owning GLD Can Be Hazardous to Your Wealth
Submitted By Alex Stanczyk
Owning GLD Can Be Hazardous to Your Wealth

by Dave Kranzler
February 12, 2009

Given that the stated amount of gold in the GLD Trust has grown to over 850 tons, it appears that a lot of investors believe and trust that investing in GLD is the same thing as buying physical gold bullion. A close reading and analysis of the GLD Prospectus, however, reveals that investing in GLD is drastically different from owning gold. This analysis will show why GLD is nothing more than another form of a derivative security which is loaded with counter-party default risk. Ultimately, the value of the GLD Trust, and the price of its stock, has the potential to experience substantial loss. Under certain circumstances GLD could be worthless. As an investment advisor, I do not recommend that anyone use GLD instead of buying physical gold because it is not an investment in gold and the legal structure of GLD is such that unsuspecting investors could end up losing all of their money. Furthermore, because the risks embedded in GLD are documented in the GLD Prospectus, investment advisors who recommend GLD and use it in client portfolios are exposing themselves to the risk of negligence lawsuits.

Introduction

GLD is a legal trust designed to track the price of gold, net of trust expenses. The Sponsor is the World Gold Trust Services (World Gold Council), the Trustee is The Bank of New York, the Custodian is HSBC Holdings and the Marketing Agent is State Street Global Agents (State Street Bank). My source of research is the S1 Prospectus filed on November 15, 2004.

GLD is a “derivative” because it is a piece of paper that is supposed to move with – or is derived from - the movement of the underlying asset, which is gold. It is also a derivative because unless a shareholder owns 100,000 shares, a GLD shareholder can never take physical possession of any GLD gold.

As shown below, the Trust has been legally structured in a way which makes it impossible to determine if the gold in the Trust is being leased. This is a huge problem because, if the Trust is indeed leasing gold, it could become difficult for the Trust to replace the leased gold in the event that the counter-party leasing the gold defaults. Furthermore, in the event that the Custodian becomes insolvent, and the gold has indeed been leased out by the subcustodians, shareholder’s have almost no legal ability to seek recovery from the Trust/Custodian.

GLD does not even promise that the gold is in the Trust

The biggest problem with GLD is there is no way to legally force the Trustee/Custodian to prove that the gold being kept by the Custodian is in the Custodian’s vault. The Custodian has the ability to use “subcustodians” to safekeep the gold. The subcustodians are permitted to use their own subcustodians to safekeep the gold.

The Trustee/Custodian/Subcustodian relationship is where the validity of GLD disintegrates into a maze of legal barriers which ultimately prevent anyone from physically verifying that the GLD Trust holds anything more than promises of gold. In other words, GLD has been set up by the Sponsor and Trustee, and the structure approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission, in a manner which would allow GLD subcustodians to lease out the gold being held by subcustodians, thus leaving nothing in GLD but lease-receivables.

I’ll start from the top and work down. The Trustee, upon reasonable notice, is permitted to visit the the Custodian’s vaults and examine the Custodian’s records twice a year. From the prospectus:

“The ability of the Trustee to monitor the performance of the Custodian may be limited because under the Custody Agreements the Trustee may, only up to twice a year, visit the premises of the Custodian for the purpose of examining the Trust’s gold and certain related records maintained by the Custodian.” (p. 37)

The auditor may also visit the Custodian’s premises in connection with their audit of the financial statements of the Trust - the auditor does not audit the actual gold. Please note that Trustee and auditor visits “will not be allowed when no gold of the Trust is held in the Custodian’s vault.” (p. 48). For clarification, this could occur when all of the GLD Trust gold is being held by subcustodians, who then turn could around and lease the gold. Just as the Trustee has limited oversight of the Custodian, the Custodian has limited responsibility and no oversight of the subcustodians:

“The Custodian is required to use reasonable care in selecting subcustodians, but otherwise has no responsibility in relation to the subcustodians appointed by it, and the Custodian is not responsible for their selection of further subcustodians. The Custodian does not undertake to monitor the performance by subcustodians of their custody functions or their selection of additional subcustodians. The Custodian is not responsible for the actions or inactions of subcustodians” (p. 44)

In addition to the above problems, and in what I believe is negligence on the part of the SEC, neither theTrustee nor the Custodian has any legal ability whatsoever to monitor or visit the premises of any subcustodians, or subcustodians of the subcustodians, for purposes of verifying that subcustodians are holding what they are supposed to be holding:

“In addition, the Trustee has no right to visit the premises of any subcustodian for the purposes of examining the Trust’s gold or any records maintained by the subcustodian, and no subcustodian is obligated to cooperate in any review the Trustee may wish to conduct of the facilities, procedures, records or creditworthiness of such subcustodian.” (p.37)

To make matters worse, the Prospectus states that there will be no written contractual agreements between subcustodians and the Custodian or the Trustee (page 11-12). The Prospectus further states quite clearly that “because neither the Trustee nor the Custodian oversees or monitors the activities of subcustodians who may hold the Trust’s gold, failure by the subcustodians to exercise due care in the safekeeping of the Trust’s gold could result in a loss to the Trust.” (p. 12).

As thus can be seen from its legal structure, the Trust does not have any legal safeguards in place to keep subcustodians from leasing out the GLD gold. As of the date of this prospectus, the subcustodians being used were: Bank of England, The Bank of Nova Scotia (ScotiaMocatta), Deutsche Bank AG, JPMorgan Chase Bank, and UBS AG (p. 47). Please note that all of these banks actively lease gold.

Shareholder Recourse

The Trust has been structured to make it difficult, if not impossible, for shareholders to seek recovery from losses which could occur from Custodian/subcustodian negligence or outright fraud. Shareholder recourse against the Trust is limited (p. 11). The Trust will not insure the gold. The Custodian is responsible for insurance and “shareholders can not be assured that the Custodian will maintain adequate insurance” (p. 11). Furthermore, “Custodian and the Trustee will not require any direct or indirect subcustodians to be insured or bonded” with respect to gold held by the subcustodians on behalf of the Trust (p. 11). “Consequently, a loss may be suffered with respect to the Trust’s gold which is not covered by insurance and for which no person is liable in damages” (p. 11). If subcustodians are used outside of the U.S., it may be difficult or impossible to seek legal remedy against the subcustodians (p. 12). This is significant because the Custodian’s primary vault is in London. The subcustodians’ vaults can be anywhere in the world.

A further, and not inconsequential, source of risk is the possible insolvency of the Custodian, HSBC. As described on page 13 of the Prospectus, “if the Custodian becomes insolvent, its assets may not be adequate to satisfy a claim by the Trust…In addition, in the event of the Custodian’s insolvency, there may be a delay and costs in incurred identifying the bullion held in the Trust’s allocated gold account.” On the surface, this makes it sound like the GLD Trustee can make a specific claim on those bars on behalf of the Trust. But let’s examine this a little further. That there may be a “delay and costs incurred identifying bars in the Trust’s allocated gold account” undoubtedly refers to the possibility that allocated bars may be held by subcustodians. And if these subcustodians have leased out those bars, it will take substantial time to call in those bars. Worse, if the subcustodians fail to return leased gold to the Custodian, there are no contractual agreements which enforce subcustodian performance by the Custodian. As noted above, the Custodian can not be held liable for actions of the subcustodians, thereby leaving GLD shareholders in line with other creditors in the event HSBC files for bankruptcy.

Yet another loophole in the GLD Prospectus which allows the gold to be leased

In consulting about this report with James Turk, a well-known precious metals market analyst and the founder of GoldMoney, Mr. Turk discovered another loophole in the legal language of the Prospectus which further bolsters the case to be made that the GLD Trust leases out its gold:

I’m reading the Aug 2008 prospectus, but it’s probably the same in earlier ones. It can be found in Use of Proceeds on page 3 (and in various other places too), which states: “Proceeds received by the Trust from the issuance and sale of Baskets consist of gold deposits and, possibly from time to time, cash.” Note the word “deposits”. This word has a precise meaning in the law, and is the exact opposite of “bailment”. To explain, if you deposit dollars in a bank, the bank gives you a certificate of deposit, checking account statement, savings book or some other evidence of its debt to you. You no longer own those dollars; the bank now owes them to you. Title/ownership changed from you to the bank, which can now do with those dollars whatever it wants. With bailment, the bank is simply storing for you an asset you placed with them for storage. There was no change in title. The asset continues to be owned by you. So if there were physical gold in GLD, the above statement should be changed to “Proceeds received by the Trust from the issuance and sale of Baskets consist of gold bailments and, possibly from time to time, cash.”

My point is that “gold” is one thing and a “gold deposit” is something entirely different. “Gold” is physical metal stored/bailed in a secure vault. A “gold deposit” is a liability of a financial institution. The former is a tangible asset (physical gold). The latter is a financial asset (paper gold). In summary, the GLD prospectus is full of legal loopholes. While GLD may in fact hold some physical gold, there is enough uncertainty with it that it seems clear much/most of GLD is paper. Otherwise, why doesn’t GLD audit the gold to prove that it exists?

As shown by Mr. Turk, the Sponsor of GLD has chosen to structure the Trust using language which would permit the Trust to purchase gold and immediately lease out that gold. The lease receivable document would then satisfy a strict legal interpretation of the use of the term “gold deposits” by the Prospectus. A lease receivable document has risks embedded in it which further increase the inherent derivatives risk of GLD. A lease receivable document is NOT physical gold.

As for the annual auditor’s report, found on pages 70-71 of the most recent GLD 10K filed 11/25/08, the auditor clearly states that their “responsibility is to express an opinion on the Trust’s internal control over financial reporting based on our audit.” As shown above, the internal controls rely on a tenuous chain of accountability from the Trustee down to the subcustodian’s subcustodians, with almost no legal means to independently verify the existence of physical gold in the vaults used to store GLD gold. The auditor of GLD is neither required nor, in the case of access to subcustodian vaults, allowed to perform an actual physical accounting of the gold reported to be held on behalf of GLD by the Custodian. Ultimately, the auditor certifies its accounting for GLD based on financial reports from the Custodian and subcustodians which could ultimately be based on lease receivables rather than actual physical gold.

As can thus be seen by the risky legal structure and superficial auditing of GLD, and the willingness of the Governmental regulatory agencies to look the other way, anyone investing in GLD is taking on the risk of being victimized by the misleading financial and accounting schemes that have deeply infected the U.S. financial system. I would be quite surprised if any of the vast majority of institutional and retail investors, or their highly compensated advisors, are even remotely aware of the acute risks embedded in the GLD Trust. Make no mistake about it, investing in GLD is completely different than investing in actual physical gold. GLD does not even accurately index the price of physical gold, as the premiums on physical gold products like bullion coins have expanded from 10% to 40% above the spot price of gold over the last five years. This premium is not reflected in the price of GLD. If you invest in GLD now, with the intent of selling GLD in the future and buying physical gold, you will discover that your investment proceeds from GLD will purchase substantially less gold than was represented by your paper investment in GLD.

I have no problem with the concept of using GLD for daytrading to make directional bets, long or short, on the short term swings in the price of gold. But if you invest in GLD with the intent of making a long term investment in gold, please be aware that GLD is NOT an investment in actual physical gold. GLD is nothing more than a piece of paper which proclaims, but does not promise, to have gold on the other side of its highly structured legal barriers. Furthermore, for the reasons shown above, there is the possibility that you might wake up one day to find out that the price of GLD has suddenly dropped well below the spot price of gold and that GLD could even end up worthless.

bestwaytoinvest.com



To: Real Man who wrote (21392)7/16/2009 9:57:04 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71427
 
CEF gives you total golden certainty, but there is an unnecessary and often substantial premium associated with owning it [12% today]:

centralfund.com

IAU seems better managed [though Barclay's just sold its sponsorship interest to BlackRock; don't know what that will mean in the future] than GLD in this regard. From IAU's S1:

"The iShares will be backed by the assets of the trust. The trustee's arrangements with the custodian contemplate that at the end of each business day there can be in the trust account no more than 430 ounces of gold in an unallocated form. This means that the bulk of the trust's gold holdings will be represented by physical gold, identified on the custodian's books as the property of the trust and held by the custodian in New York, London and other locations that may be authorized in the future."

"5. Use of Subcustodians.

(a) Qualifications. Custodian may, with the prior written consent of Trustee, entrust Gold held in the Account to a specified subcustodian that is eligible to act as a custodian of Gold under applicable laws and regulations (a "Sub-Custodian") selected by Custodian with due care.

(b) Separate Account; Bookkeeping; Instructions. Gold held by a Sub-Custodian shall be kept in an account of Custodian at such Sub-Custodian that contains only Gold held by Custodian for its customers, and Custodian shall separately identify on its books Gold that is so held on behalf of Trustee. The account of Custodian with each such Sub-Custodian shall be subject only to the instructions of Custodian.

(c) Monitoring. Custodian shall monitor the conduct of each Sub-Custodian, and promptly advise Trustee of any difficulties or problems (financial, operational or otherwise) existing with respect to such Sub-Custodian of which Custodian is aware and shall take appropriate and lawful action to protect and safekeep Trustee's Property deposited with such Sub-Custodian, including to the extent feasible, the withdrawal of such Property from such Sub-Custodian.

(d) Access and Inspection. Custodian shall not entrust Gold held in the Account to any Sub-Custodian other than The Bank of England unless that Sub-Custodian grants rights of access and inspection to records and Gold that are similar to those granted by Custodian in Section 7.

6. Use of Agents. Custodian is authorized in its discretion to use agents in connection with Custodian's handling of transactions hereunder, provided that any such use shall not relieve Custodian of any of its responsibilities or liabilities hereunder.

7. Access to Records; Inspection Rights. Custodian shall permit officers and properly designated representatives of Trustee and independent public accountants for the Trust identified by Trustee reasonable access to the records of the Account for the purpose of confirming the content of those records. Upon at least ten days' prior notice, during Custodian's regular banking hours, any officer or properly designated representative of Trustee, any independent public accountants for the Trust identified by Trustee and any person designated by any regulatory authority having jurisdiction over Trustee or the Trust shall be entitled to examine on Custodian's premises the Property held by Custodian on its premises pursuant to this Agreement and Custodian's records regarding the Property held hereunder at a Sub-Custodian in accordance with Section 5 hereof, but only upon receipt from Trustee of properly authorized instructions to that effect. In addition, Custodian shall cooperate with Trustee in providing to Trustee's external auditors and the Trust's external auditors such reports (or portions thereof) of the external auditors of Custodian as relate directly to Custodian's system of internal accounting controls and procedures applicable to its duties under this Agreement."

The custodian is required to obtain from any subcustodian the same inspection rights as bind the custodian to the trustee, i.e., inspections for property and records, not simply records, as appears to be the case with GLD, all on 10 day's notice.

I would think IAU's subcustodians would have a heck of a time leasing gold, and I am not sure they are allowed to do so in GLD's case.



To: Real Man who wrote (21392)7/17/2009 1:44:34 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71427
 
Vi, i have to say i'm taken aback by the government's sitting idly by while allowing this run up.

we are very near the fulcrum on the teeter totter and if they let it get out of hand, we may well see gold take off, the dollar collapse and interest rates go through the roof.

oh, and the economy collapse.

all b/c the robbed celebrated the thieves of the biggest peace time heist in the world and the non collapse of tech going into their higher demand season (back to school, xmas).

i expect this rally to be short lived or else mortgages will be 6% or higher in no time and gold might just take off at that point.