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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gregor_us who wrote (88891)7/17/2009 11:36:22 AM
From: silvertoad1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
gregor - do you think the 12-Month Oil Fund (USL) and the upcoming 12-Month Nat Gas Fund deal with the problem sufficiently to be longterm investment vehicles? thx.

tinyurl.com

unitedstatescommodityfunds.com



To: gregor_us who wrote (88891)7/17/2009 11:36:36 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
With precious metals you can just buy the bullion from bullion
dealers, although you'll pay the larger spread, which is what
I've been doing.

Unfortunately, with other commodities you can't do that. So,
the ETFs, no matter how flawed they are, offer investors
tracking of the commodity price. USO tracked WTIC
very well this Spring, but not so well when it crashed -
perhaps, due to large contango that developed. The
only other way is to buy futures yourself.

I agree, these funds offer some real money pile to the Market
Makers, who front run the contract rollover, which is probably
why they started them to begin with. It's the money pile lost
by the fund.

Perhaps, the managers, who are obviously not interested in
paying the dues to the Market Makers, can somehow optimize
the rollover process.

Note that last year was very, very unusual. Perhaps, during
more normal times these funds should track things better.