To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (69082 ) 7/22/2009 1:46:00 PM From: TideGlider 1 Recommendation Respond to of 224694 Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans Take Four-Point Lead on Generic Ballot Tuesday, July 21, 2009 Email to a Friend ShareThis.Advertisement Support for Republican congressional candidates has reached its highest level in over two years as the GOP lengthens its lead over Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Ballot. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 42% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for the Democratic candidate. Support for Republican candidates rose two points over the past week, while support for Democratic candidates is up one point. Last week, support for Democrats fell to its lowest level in over two years. (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter. Democratic support on the congressional ballot has ranged from a low of 37% to a high of 50% in the past 12 months. In that same period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 42% of voters nationwide. Democrats held a six- or seven-point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. That began to slip in early February, and from mid-April through June the parties were roughly even. Republicans have now held a lead on the ballot for four straight weeks. Men prefer Republicans by a 46% to 35% margin. Women have been more evenly divided over the past few weeks, this week favoring Democrats by a 41% to 38% margin. Voters not affiliated with either party heavily favor GOP candidates by a 41% to 21% margin, showing little change since last week. Health care remains a top issue this week, and recent polling finds that voters see cost, not universal coverage, as the biggest health care concern. Sixty-seven percent (67%) say that people with chronic conditions such as diabetes should not pay higher health insurance premiums. Half (50%) now oppose creation of a public insurance company to compete with private insurers. Seventy-eight percent (78%) believe that health care reform is likely to lead to middle class tax hikes. After a brief burst of optimism in the spring, job confidence has fallen back to first-of-the-year levels. Following last week's Senate Judiciary Committee hearings, 43% of the nation’s likely voters favor the confirmation of Sonia Sotomayor, President Obama's first nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court, while 39% are opposed. If the 2012 presidential election were held today, Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each. The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news. rasmussenreports.com