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To: Arthur Radley who wrote (35149)8/17/2009 7:56:06 PM
From: Grantcw1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78700
 
TexasDude,

These rate cuts are no where near the rate cuts that hotels are experiencing these days. In fact, ADR went from 145.73 in this quarter last year to 146.42 this year. Maybe they are finally cutting rates, but I figure that a company like this that is just now having to cut rates after the turmoil that has occured is achieving a victory of some kind.

Plus, they had net income this quarter. I'm continuing to talk myself into buying some shares.

Before I do, if you have other opportunities that are better than this, I'd love to hear.

Thanks,

cw



To: Arthur Radley who wrote (35149)8/18/2009 9:06:39 AM
From: Grommit  Respond to of 78700
 
1. please explain why rates cuts and occupancy declines don't impact revenues in a negative way.

they obviously do.

2. help me understand this rate cutting and drop in occupancy is going to create more revenue.

The only reason to cut rates/prices is to get more business. If lowering prices 5% allows me to sign 5 new contracts, while if keeping the rates the same I only sign one, well, lowering rates has added revenue. what i said before was "cutting rates is different from cutting revenue".

times are tough. just because occupancy is down, contract rates are lower, and expenses are higher, does not mean that mgmt is stupid or that the stock is not a value. but, of course, mgmt might be stupid & the stock may not be a value...

i think your posts have pointed out that times are tough, not a reason to avoid the stock.

think of it this way, instead of saying that this company is a no-buy, answer this: at what price do you buy this stock?
(Although your answer will not help me to decide anything, your analysis might -- if there is any substance to it.)