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Biotech / Medical : Human Genome Sciences, Inc. (HGSI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rkrw who wrote (1089)8/25/2009 10:04:59 AM
From: kenhott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1127
 
I have heard a couple of rumors about a takeout of HGSI also. I am putting a little cash on the line that it won't happen till after the 2nd phase 3, if it does. People can think what they want, but I don't see the 2nd phase 3 as a cakewalk. At $30/share, $5B is more than pocket change even for big pharma. Someone has to stand in front of the board and explain what happens if the 2nd phase 3 bombs.



To: rkrw who wrote (1089)8/25/2009 11:26:06 AM
From: Steven Rachbach  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1127
 
IMO, the main purpose of a GSK buyout would to acquire full rights to the Lp-PLA2 drugs. HGSI stands to get a 10% royalty off the top with a 20% co-promote option for a measly 20% of promotion costs. The huge P3 for the drug has gone for 7 months now and GSK gets peeks at the data. If the drug passes the P3, it would be the next Lipitor. Add to that the other 50% of profits for Benlysta and a 2 Billion carry forward loss..