SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : The Obama - Clinton Disaster -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pompsander who wrote (17936)8/26/2009 3:44:33 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 103300
 
I wondered when bargain shoppers would emerge and 'pent up demand' would reassert.

After such a huge inventory draw-down, restocking (while initially tentative, and with a 'toe-in-the-water' kind of aspect) must inevitably emerge.

What are we... 20 months past N.B.E.R.'s date for the onset of this really bad recession (December 2007 start date)?

This is putting us *already* long past the average recession's length (six to nine months) so these 'green shoots' may indeed be real.

And, with the bulk of the federal stimulus money hitting the real economy between right now and the end of 2010 (right in time for Congress' mid-term elections... fancy that 'coincidence', LOL!), and the MUCH LARGER stimulus provided by the Fed's liquidity injections --- unlikely to be significantly withdrawn until starting in 2011, by my estimation --- with just the littlest bit of cooperation from the business cycle we could be looking for a fairly rosy economic year (at least by comparison) in 2010.

This could result in a national political environment late in 2010 that is world's apart from where we find ourselves currently (mired in a dyspeptic August of recession year 2009).