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Technology Stocks : Vitech America tackles Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robt justine who wrote (124)10/30/1997 11:34:00 AM
From: Michael Burry  Respond to of 153
 
Excellent analysis. That's how I see it too.

<<Shorts will cover if they see a blood transfusion take place that will keep the body alive and tie up their short-invested money for another year or so.>>

I hadn't thought of that. Makes sense.

Good Investing,
Mike



To: robt justine who wrote (124)10/30/1997 4:49:00 PM
From: CMon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 153
 
It seems a little unfair to me to compare inventory turns at Vitech to the industry. They are operating in an emerging market. There is no FedEx to deliver from the factory to purchaser in one day, nor can you use a just-in-time inventory system when imported parts can sit in port for weeks.
As for bad debts: Brazil is a Roman law country. You bounce a check you go to jail. Their bad debt experience has been half what they've reserved. Again, an industry comaparison seems inappropriate. As for receivables, watch the DSO's.



To: robt justine who wrote (124)11/1/1997 9:57:00 AM
From: Mason Barge  Respond to of 153
 
Guys, I'm out for a little while. I think Vitech has a great business model and possibly a great future, but they are too highly exposed to currency problems in Brazil. A currency crisis is entirely possible and could conceivable put Vitech under. It would certainly hurt their growth for a few quarters.