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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lbs who wrote (5338)10/30/1997 2:56:00 AM
From: Dan Ross  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13594
 
I know you asked Trufflette about AMZN but I'll let you know what I think of them.....They are WAY OVERVALUED!!!! I couldn't get shares to be short.....I have had no problem shorting various issues (I am new to shorting though) over the past 3 weeks. AMZN, in the "Finance Stars" issue of BusinessWeek, is apparently building huge wharehouses, increasing inventory and upgrading their network. The issue stated that the volume of books sold will have to increase 200% over current volumes for the bookseller to become profitable after the new infrastructure is put into place.

Some points:

1.) How do they differentiate themselves? (ie. better product, more products) - They don't.
2.) Are they selling a commodity product? - Hell YES!!!! No competitive and first mover profits will be made in the on-line bookselling industry. Sorry.....I find going to the bookstore far more enjoyable than cruising the web looking for books (And I love cruising the web).

Dan Ross



To: lbs who wrote (5338)10/30/1997 10:15:00 AM
From: KM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13594
 
Hi Dan: I dipped the old toe in the water with a small short position on AMZN yesterday, along with AOL and Dell. Covered Dell first thing this a.m. We didn't have time to analyze the AMZN chart, but will do it tonight and I'll post our opinion. Fundamentally you're right, of course, but some of these suckers can stay afloat just long enough to squeeze you out, then they crater. It's a good idea.