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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chas. who wrote (55547)9/27/2009 2:05:27 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219785
 
Russian support of Iran is very shortsighted. Recall that despite the Sunni-Shia divide, the Muslims will unit against a common enemy, i.e., the Iranian harboring of Zarqawi, a Sunni, and of a lot of Sunni Al Qaeda types. The Iranians will support the Muslim fight against the Russians in the Caucasus regardless of the religious label involved.

The Russians will rue the day they supported the Iranians. The Chinese, too, because they face the same problems though not on such a large scale as the Russians.

Lesson: don't support your enemies, even if they are relatively quiet at the moment. They will turn on you.



To: Chas. who wrote (55547)9/27/2009 4:22:15 PM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation  Respond to of 219785
 
the "another story" is the story. The "crazy" Iranians actually have a strategy and it is a winning strategy. Desperate that their strategy is winning and the US strategy is losing, the US is trying to de-rail Iran.

What you and the other clueless people do not see is what is boiling below the surface.

Demonizing Iran is a sign of hopelessness of a losing strategy.



To: Chas. who wrote (55547)9/27/2009 4:36:19 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219785
 
this summer the Islamic Republic has taught us a lesson in strategic maneuvering, taking major steps to bolster its economy and geopolitical posture by positioning itself as an indispensable energy supplier to hundreds of millions of people.

...

Not wasting any time, Iran is now implementing the second tenet of its pipeline strategy. In July, it announced that by the end of 2009 it will be connected with its northern neighbor, Turkmenistan, Central Asia’s largest gas producer, via a pipeline. Turkmenistan’s interest in pumping its gas to Iran stems from its desire to diversify its export market. Two-thirds of Turkmenistan’s gas flow to Russia, and the dependence on one major client allows Moscow to take advantage of its former republic. But why would energy-rich Iran want to import gas from its neighbor? The answer is the Nabucco pipeline.



To: Chas. who wrote (55547)9/27/2009 4:44:04 PM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation  Respond to of 219785
 
now to the losing strategy: A long-planned $7.6 billion, 1,050-mile oil pipeline running from Turkmenistan to India is called TAPI for Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India. Turkmenistan has the third-largest natural gas reserves in the world and Afghanistan is the crucial transit corridor.

Asia Times journalist Pepe Escobar notes that TAPI goes back to the mid 1990s "[W]hen the Taliban were wined and dined by California-based Unocal—and the Clinton machine." According to insider accounts, negotiations broke down because the Taliban were demanding too much in transfer fees. (Recall that the Taliban, Al Qaeda, and Osama bin Laden were created by the CIA.)

The pipeline would bisect Afghanistan's volatile Kandahar province. It also would permit bypassing Iran, one of Washington's key geopolitical objectives. For this to occur, a reliable client regime needs to be established in Kabul; hence the U.S. invasion, occupation, and likely escalation. Escobar adds that the possibility of establishing permanent bases "right at the borders of geopolitical competitors China and Russia" is a closely related motive. This is why Afghan civilians and U.S. soldiers are dying.

That is the losing strategy and they are sour at the Iranians winning strategy, thus US raing the issue of Iranb threat.



To: Chas. who wrote (55547)9/27/2009 5:00:05 PM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation  Respond to of 219785
 
US got desperate. Even sabotaged and embargoed Iran, its strategy is winning. Got bogged down in a misadventure. There is more misery! Energy-rich Turkmenistan will begin supplying natural gas through two new pipelines to China and Iran in December, state media reported Saturday.

Wait! What is that? More misery. China enters the arena! US in despair says will stop gasoline supplies to Iran. China will not be happy.

Losing? Ok. let's demonize Iran for the ignorant masses to chew the bone we are throwing at them.

Now go learn about geopolitics and then come back here to talk to me. Or just ask me what you did not understand.