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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam Citron who wrote (3216)10/30/1997 9:18:00 PM
From: Elroy Jetson  Respond to of 10921
 
The relative safety in holding Cymer is that at the closing Bid of $24, the stock is more than 50% below its peak in August of ~$50.

My small-cap biotech stocks are holding up even better. The investors in these companies are in for the long term.

All of the hot money high-momentum stocks are getting creamed. You saw it even before the decline of the past seven days. Companies would come out with better than expected earnings and the stock would promptly drop as hi-mo investors bailed after not seeing an immeadiate run-up.

I track Louis Navallier's 50 Blue Chip Stock letter picks as an example of a hi-mo portfolio. Since September 15 (6 weeks) the decline in his portfolio value is twice that of the S&P 500. Fortunately Cymer previously lost it's hi-mo investors during September.

Elroy Jetson



To: Sam Citron who wrote (3216)10/30/1997 9:34:00 PM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 10921
 
Sam,

RE: "Last year's low was in a favorable market climate (though unfavorable industry cycle). Unfavorable market climate could be worse IMO."

The semi-equips fell 60-70% from their highs last year. Since a 60-70% market fall is extremely unlikely, "worse" would require a combination of both unfavorable market and industry cycle. Is this what you are alluding to?

Cary