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To: X Y Zebra who wrote (2148)10/11/2009 4:06:44 PM
From: X Y Zebra1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23934
 
Paranoid theories can't take the shine off gold

By John Dizard

Published: October 10 2009 03:00 | Last updated: October 10 2009 03:00

<snip>

For a few years after the 1971 "closing of the gold window", the end of US government gold sales, there was residual interest in foreign governments' valuation of their gold reserves. A website popular with goldbugs, Zero Hedge, recently revealed a 1975 Federal Reserve memorandum to President Gerald Ford, in which an argument between the Treasury and the Fed is outlined. Zero Hedge describes the memo as a "smoking gun", and goes on to say: "So to all conspiracy theorists claiming that gold is being manipulated on a daily basis by the Federal Reserve: when it occurs over and over, and is so well documented, it is no longer a theory."

The memo itself is rather less dramatic and has nothing to do with manipulation on a daily basis. Essentially, the Fed chairman, then Arthur Burns, was telling Mr Ford that if the French buy lots of gold it will lead to an increase in world liquidity and more inflation. As usual, Mr Burns was wrong. Gold was not necessary to inflate or deflate world liquidity; that could be done through money market operations by government currency issuers, including the French and the Americans.

Gold could move the larger financial world directly if central banks tied the level and rate of currency issuance directly to their gold reserves or to the metal's price. Central banks, or a shadowy Doctor Evil, do not need to manipulate the price of gold if the price does not limit their freedom of action. What matters to governments is their ability to finance themselves through bond sales. This would be hampered if the bonds' value was being eroded by higher inflation, or by devaluation of the currency relative to other currencies.

And that is what the gold price is beginning to tell us. The investing public may be too worried about imminent inflation; more likely, given the continued weakness in employment and wages, not to mention housing, we will have weak dollar-measured general price inflation. However, in spite of mantra-like official statements to the contrary, it would seem that the US government wants to competitively devalue its way to national prosperity.

<snip>

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