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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (35677)10/12/2009 2:30:18 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78704
 
Thanks, EKS. Hadn't seen that. Reviewing my food stocks now.

I'm in this am for a tracking position in Chinese dairy producer, American Dairy, ADY. A case can be made that it's a value stock.

finance.yahoo.com.

Also, upping my position now in WMT which is down today and under $50/sh. This stock now has essentially shown nothing in past few years---I have shares bought four years ago at $45.78. And now, with the market moving, tech expected to improve (according to some talking heads), the recent and maybe continuing dash-to-trash, who the heck wants a prosaic food stock -- and a behemoth that doesn't seem to do anything?

It'll work for me though. Rather be in it for a few more shares than have the money in money-market funds. Some safety with WMT: It wasn't slaughtered at market lows, and its measly dividend (2% div. yield), which bests my broker's mm fund, has increased every year). Meanwhile company numbers keep getting more attractive-- p/bk, p/e. P/sales pretty low (relatively)-- nobody wants ole WMT apparently.

Gee, maybe I'll have to see for myself. Haven't been in a WMT since about '98.



To: E_K_S who wrote (35677)10/13/2009 11:32:56 AM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78704
 
DJ MARKET TALK: Pali Warns Of 'Value Trap' In Grocer Stocks
Edited by John Shipman

8:50 (Dow Jones) Pali Capital says recent run up in some grocery store stocks is "unjustified," and investors may be falling into a value trap in a struggling sector. Firm cuts Supervalu (SVU) and Great Atlantic Pacific (GAP) to sell, and lowers Safeway (SWY) estimates. Some optimism coming from expectations for
tempered deflation, but Pali doesn't think that's enough to get bullish, especially since grocers are competing on price. Unemployment also may stay high for several years, hurting sales and margins. Wal-Mart (WMT) also a wild card on speculation it may get even more aggressive with prices. GAP down 3.7% premarket
at $9.91; SVU down 2.2% at $15.72.

==================================================================
SVU traded 5.09 million shares yesterday 62% above the average daily volume of 3.13 million shares. SVU cut to a sell from neutral by Pali Capital

Here is the performance of WMT, SVU and TSCDY, TESCO (TSCDY) is Europe's WalMart. I switched into TESCO in 2007, selling 75% of my SVU. I later started adding to my SVU towards the end of 2008 and beginning 2009 where SVU is now a top 10 holding.

finance.yahoo.com

Value statistics:
finance.yahoo.com

SVU seems to be the best value proposition of the three but depending on how you value the companies, you can make similar arguments for WMT and even TSCDY.

EKS