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To: Douglas V. Fant who wrote (5259)10/31/1997 12:29:00 AM
From: Duncan Lestina  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13925
 
Economic Instability Hits Brazil
By Randy Befumo (TMF Templr)

ALEXANDRIA, Va. (Oct. 30, 1997) /FOOLWIRE/ --- Brazil's Bovespa
index tumbled 8.9% to 8,944.42 driven by investor concerns over the
country's banking system. U.S. investors took this as a sign that the economic
instability in Southeast Asia may be spreading to other "emerging" countries.

WHAT IS GOING ON?

Although much of the week has been spent focused on Hong Kong, Thailand,
South Korea, and Malaysia, Brazilian stocks have fallen about 25% since
Monday. The last time Brazilian markets were in such disarray was after
1995's peso devaluation. Investors are now concerned that Brazil's central
bank has spent $5 billion of its $60 billion in reserves to to defend the
currency. Should Brazil suffer a currency devaluation, other South American
countries would be sure to follow. Additionally, rumors that the largest asset
managers in Brazil may have stock losses they cannot cover did nothing to
help investor confidence.

WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

Although this move is really being driven by a speculative frenzy and not by
any concrete and real economic events, U.S. investors should psychologically
prepare for more turmoil in stocks. The irony of this is that the yields on U.S.
bonds will likely continue to fall as investors flee to quality, making U.S. stocks
even more attractive on a long-term basis.

From fool.com