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To: TH who wrote (105830)10/19/2009 8:21:56 AM
From: Chispas2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
New York Times - "Goldman, Can Spare You a Dime?" .

October 19, 2009 , 4:49 am

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At the dawn of the progressive era early in the last century, muckrakers attacked the first billionaire, John D. Rockefeller, for creating capitalism’s most ruthless monster. “The Octopus” was their nickname for Standard Oil, the trust that controlled nearly 90 percent of American oil. But even in that primordial phase of the industrial era, Mr. Rockefeller was mindful of his public image and eager to counter it, The New York Times’s Frank Rich writes. “His great brainstorm,” writes his biographer, Ron Chernow, “was undoubtedly his decision to dispense shiny souvenir dimes to adults and nickels to children as he moved about.” Who could hate an octopus tossing glittering coins?

It was hard not to think of Mr. Rockefeller’s old P.R. playbook while watching Goldman Sachs’s behavior when the Dow hit 10,000 last week, Mr. Rich says.

As leader of the Wall Street pack, Goldman declared surging profits, keeping it on track to dispense a record $23 billion in bonuses for 2009. But most Americans know all too well that only the intervention of billions of dollars in taxpayer bailout money saved Goldman from the dire fate of its less well-connected competitors. The growing ranks of under-and-unemployed Americans, meanwhile, are waiting with increasing desperation for a recovery of their own.

Goldman is this century’s octopus — almost literally so, Mr. Rich says. The most-quoted sentence in financial journalism this year, by Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, describes the company as a “great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money.” That’s why Goldman’s chief executive, Lloyd Blankfein, recycled Rockefeller’s stunt last week: The announcement of Goldman’s spectacular third-quarter earnings ($3.19 billion) was paired with the news that the company was donating $200 million to its own foundation, which promotes education. In Goldman dollars, that largess is roughly comparable to the nickels John D. handed out to children a century ago, according to Mr. Rich. At least those kids, he says, could spend the spare change on candy.

Teddy Roosevelt’s trust-busting crusade ultimately broke up Standard Oil. Though Goldman did outlast three of its four major rival firms during last fall’s meltdown, it is not a monopoly. And there is one other significant way that our 21st-century vampire squid differs from Rockefeller’s 20th-century octopus, Mr. Rich notes. Americans knew what oil was, and they understood how Standard Oil’s manipulations directly affected their pocketbooks. Even now many Americans don’t know what Goldman’s products are or how it makes its money. The less we know, the easier it is for reckless gambling to return to capitalism’s casino, and for Washington to look the other way as a new financial bubble inflates, Mr. Rich argues.

As Wall Street was celebrating last week, Congress was having a big week of its own, arousing itself to belatedly battle some of the corporate suspects that have helped drive America into its fiscal ditch. The big action was at the Senate Finance Committee, which finally produced a health care bill that, however gingerly, bids to reform industries that have feasted on the nation’s Rube Goldberg medical system. At least health care, like oil, is palpable, so we will be able to keep score of how reform fares — win, lose or draw. But, Mr. Rich says, the business of Wall Street, while also at center stage in a Congressional committee last week, is so esoteric that the public is understandably clueless as to what, if anything, the lawmakers were up to, if anyone even noticed at all.

The first stab at corrective legislation emerging from Barney Frank’s Financial Services Committee in the House is porous, Mr. Rich suggests. While unregulated derivatives remain the biggest potential systemic threat to the world’s economy, Mr. Frank said that “the great majority” of businesses that use derivatives would not be covered under his committee’s much-amended bill. It’s also an open question whether the administration’s proposed consumer agency to protect Americans from mortgage and credit-card outrages will survive the banking lobby’s attempts to eviscerate it. As that bill stands now, more than 98 percent of America’s banks — mainly community banks, representing 20 percent of deposits — would be shielded from the new agency’s supervision, Mr. Rich notes.

If it’s too early to pronounce these embryonic efforts at financial reform a failure, it’s hard to muster great hope, Mr. Rich says. As the economics commentator Jeff Madrick points out in The New York Review of Books, the American public is still owed “a clear account of the financial events of the last two years and of who, if anyone, is seriously to blame.” Without that, there will be neither the comprehensive policy framework nor the political will to change anything, Mr Rich argues.

The only investigation in town is a bipartisan Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission created by Congress in May, the columnist says. It is still hiring staff. Its 10 members are dispersed throughout the country, and, according to a spokeswoman, have contemplated only a half-dozen public sessions over the next year. Such a panel, led by the former California state treasurer Phil Angelides, seems highly unlikely to match Congress’s Depression-era Pecora commission, according Mr. Rich. That investigation was driven by a prosecutor whose relentless fact-finding riveted the country and gave birth to the Securities and Exchange Commission, among other New Deal reforms. Last week, we learned that the current S.E.C. has hired a former Goldman hand as the chief operating officer of its enforcement unit.

Even as we wait for Congress and its inquiry to produce results, the cultural toxins revealed by our economic crisis remain unaddressed by the leaders in the private and public sectors who might make a difference now, Mr. Rich argues. Mr. Blankfein may be giving $200 million to “education,” but Goldman is back to business as usual: making money by high-risk gambling, with all the advantages that the best connections, cheap loans from the Fed and high-speed trading algorithms can bring. As the Reuters columnist Rolfe Winkler wrote last week, “Main Street still owns much of the risk while Wall Street gets all of the profit.”

The idea of investing in the real economy — the one that might create jobs for Americans — remains outré in this culture, Mr. Rich says. Credit to small businesses remains tight. The holy capitalist grail is still the speculative buying and selling of companies and the concoction of ever more esoteric financial “instruments.” The tragic tale of Simmons Bedding recently told in The Times is a role model, Mr. Rich suggests. This successful 133-year-old manufacturing enterprise was flipped seven times in two decades by private equity firms. Investors made more than $750 million in profits even as the pile-up of debt pushed Simmons into bankruptcy, costing a quarter of its loyal workers their jobs so far.

Most leaders in America are against this kind of ethos in principle, Mr. Rich says. Last month the president of Harvard, Drew Gilpin Faust, contributed a stirring essay to The Times regretting that educational institutions did not make stronger efforts to assert the fundamental values of pure intellectual inquiry while “the world indulged in a bubble of false prosperity and excessive materialism.” She rued the rise of business as the most popular undergraduate major, an implicit reference to the go-go atmosphere during the reign of her predecessor, Lawrence Summers, now President Obama’s chief economic adviser.

What went unsaid, of course, is that some of Harvard’s most prominent alumni of the pre-Faust era — Summers, Blankfein, Robert Rubin et al. — were major players during the last two bubbles, Mr. Rich notes. As coincidence would have it, the same edition of The Times that published Faust’s essay also included an article about how Harvard was scrounging for bucks by licensing a line of overpriced preppy clothing under the brand Harvard Yard. This sop to excessive materialism will be a scant recompense for the $11 billion Harvard’s endowment managers lost in their own bad gamble on interest-rate swaps, Mr. Rich argues.

Obama has also passed through Harvard. (Disclosure: so did Mr. Rich.) He too has consistently said all the right things about the “money culture” of “quick kills and bloated bonuses,” of “reckless behavior and unchecked excess.” But the air of entitlement that continues to waft from his administration sends another message, according to Mr. Rich.

In particular, the tone-deaf Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner, never ceases to amaze. His daily calendars reveal that most of his contacts with the financial sector in the first seven months of 2009 were limited to the trinity of Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and JPMorgan. And last week Bloomberg News reported that his inner circle of “counselors” — key advisers who, conveniently enough, do not require Senate confirmation — are largely drawn from the same club. It’s hard to see how any public official can challenge a culture that he is marinating in, night and day, Mr. Rich says.

Those Obama fans who are disappointed keep looking for explanations. Is he too impressed by the elite he met in Cambridge, too eager to split the difference between left and right, too willing to compromise? As he pursues legislation, why does he keep deferring to others — whether to his party’s Congressional leaders or the Congressional Budget Office or to this month’s acting president, Olympia Snowe? Why doesn’t he ever draw a line in the sand? “We know Obama has good values,” Jeff Madrick said to me last week, “but we don’t know if he has convictions.”

What we also know, Mr. Rich says, is that if Teddy Roosevelt palled around with John D. Rockefeller as today’s political class does with Wall Street’s titans and lobbyists, the tentacles of the original octopus would still be coiled tightly around America’s neck.

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dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com



To: TH who wrote (105830)10/19/2009 1:47:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
the question of the decade is...

when does china de-peg its currency from the dollar?

that is the beginning of the end, imho.



To: TH who wrote (105830)10/20/2009 3:45:54 PM
From: Pogeu Mahone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Harrabin's Notes: Electric promise
Roger Harrabin reports on the Chinese car maker BYD, which is about to release a vehicle capable of revolutionising the world of motoring, if its claims prove correct.

CHINA'S LONG-RANGE ELECTRIC CAR

BYD says that its new E6 electric car due out before the end of the year will do 250 miles (400km) on a single charge.

This is a very big number. The Tesla electric sports car does almost as much, but has little room for anything else in the car but the battery.

The E6 is roomy with space for five passengers and a good-sized boot. The battery tucks under the back seat.

It needs 7-8 hours with a domestic plug to charge the car but BYD - it stands for Build Your Dreams - says a specially developed fast charging point with a lead the diameter of a fire hose will fill up the car in just one hour.

You can get half a charge in only 10 minutes.

If these claims are accurate and if BYD can persuade either the Chinese government or a Chinese city to install a network of the fast chargers, then this large hatchback could be the vehicle that makes the breakthrough for electric cars.

Extraordinary step?

Let us look at the accuracy of the claim first. BYD is already the world's number two in rechargeable batteries, and for the E6 it is using a ferrous battery it has developed itself.

There is a reputational risk in exaggerating the claims of a product. And that could be translated into a legal risk if people buy shares in the publicly quoted company as a result of misleading information.

The green group WWF has just appointed the Chinese energy expert Dr Yang Fuqiang as its head of global solutions. He told BBC News that he would reserve judgment on BYD's claims.

"If they are true, this is an extraordinary step which will prove highly significant," he said.

So what about the other question about support for a network of charging stations?

The Chinese government has spent more than any other on its green fiscal stimulus and there is supposed to be support for electric cars.

But BYD's Rebecca Wang said that although BYD hoped for co-operation, none was yet forthcoming.

The E6 will sell for £30,000 and is aimed initially at the eco-conscious California market. When the price comes down with mass production, it'll be rolled out properly in China.

Whether the claims are accurate to the letter or not, the E6 is a marker that China expects to dominate energy storage technologies - which could become much more important if the world makes a significant shift towards renewable power.

Even if they are run on coal-fired power, electric cars still produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions than a petrol car because they are inherently more efficient, according to the UK's chief energy scientist David MacKay.

This efficiency is increased if you can run an automobile fleet on either off-peak electricity at night or on intermittent power from, say, wind farms.

Power play

I chanced to share lunch recently with the CEO of a major European car manufacturer. He told me that China intended to become the world leader in battery technology. "And if that's what [China] wants, it will happen," he said. Simple as that.

But the question remains if China has the cars to match its batteries.

As a car maker, BYD is very much at the "functional" end of the Chinese market - a farmer's car, my Beijing producer Jasmin called it.

There may be a risk that BYD's batteries could be undone by poor build quality.

“ The ability to attract top entrepreneurs into this field can only be good for China ”
Yu Jie, The Climate Group
BYD's chief executive Wang Chuan-Fu is certainly ambitious, and money is certainly not a limitation.

Following a huge investment by Warren Buffet, he has just made it to the top of the Forbes Rich list for China. He is joined at the top table by another green billionaire, Shi Zhengrong who made a fortune from the Suntech solar PV firm in just four years.

There is such a buzz about the Clean tech gold rush in China at the moment that some analysts warn of the possibility of a bubble.

The Climate Group is an international non-profit organisation that works with governments and businesses with the aim of building a low carbon economy.

It is keen to dispel such pessimism. Yu Jie, its head of research in Beijing, told BBC News that if the bubble popped, it would only deflate slightly.

"Everybody wants to get into clean energy at the moment," she said.

"It can only be for the good. And the ability to attract top entrepreneurs into this field can only be good for China, which has often depended on other people's technology in the past."

When we arrived at the BYD plant, the workers were on holiday so there was no activity to film. And the E6 itself was nowhere to be seen.

But we eventually managed to persuade our hosts that, having travelled all the way from the UK, we deserved a sneak preview, and the E6 itself was unveiled.

My cameraman Al implied this negotiation might have been part of the company's publicity strategy. We will see.

Story from BBC NEWS:
news.bbc.co.uk

Published: 2009/10/20 11:09:13 GMT

© BBC MMIX

news.bbc.co.uk