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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: longnshort who wrote (37854)10/20/2009 6:15:26 PM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
It is interesting that the leftwing media always tries to connect people who would stand up for the principles the FFs fought and died for to a nutcase like McViegh.



To: longnshort who wrote (37854)10/22/2009 9:37:41 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
Obama Goes Wobbly on Afghanistan
The president can sustain bipartisan support for the war if he demonstrates his personal commitment.
OCTOBER 21, 2009, 10:31 P.M. ET.


In an interview with CNN's John King on Sunday, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel said President Obama is now asking tough questions about Afghanistan "that have never been asked on the civilian side, the political side, the military side and the strategic side." It was a not so subtle dig at Mr. Obama's predecessor and was meant to distract from the White House's mishandling of the war.

The Bush administration did in fact conduct a top-to-bottom strategic review of Afghanistan in 2008. That review was provoked by two developments.

The first was that Pakistan's government wobbled starting in 2006. It cut deals with tribes that created safe havens for the Taliban and al Qaeda and then became distracted from fighting terrorism as President Pervez Musharraf was pressured to leave office and replaced by a new democratic government. The second was al Qaeda's decision to refocus its efforts on Afghanistan after having been driven from Iraq.

After consultations with the Obama transition team, the Bush administration's strategic review was not released nor were its recommendations implemented. Instead, the review was handed over to the incoming president. Drawing on it, Mr. Obama announced a "comprehensive new strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan" on March 27.

Emphasizing the need to destroy al Qaeda and defeat the Taliban as it attempted to regain control of the country, Mr. Obama supported his new Afghan strategy by dispatching 21,000 additional troops. In June he also named a new commander, Gen. Stanley McChrystal.

On Aug. 30, Gen. McChrystal warned in an assessment sent to the Pentagon that the war could be lost unless the U.S. sent more combat troops to the country. Inexplicably, Mr. Obama did little about the general's assessment until it was leaked to the public. This led to a Sept. 30 situation-room meeting—the first of five on Gen. McChrystal's report.

Meanwhile, the Obama administration has made winning the war harder by mismanaging the U.S.'s relationship with the Afghan government. Mr. Obama refused to take a call from Afghan President Hamid Karzai after his recent disputed election, a confidante to Mr. Karzai told me. That same confidante also said that the Afghan president was dismayed when political strategist James Carville, who has close ties to both Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Mr. Emanuel, became an adviser to Ashraf Ghani, who ran against Mr. Karzai. Mr. Karzai took that as a sign that Mr. Obama was encouraging opposition to him. And, finally, administration figures have raised doubts about the White House's confidence in Afghanistan's government. In his interview on CNN on Sunday, for example, Mr. Emanuel questioned "whether, in fact, there's an Afghan partner."

Mr. Karzai has now conceded that he didn't win his recent election and has agreed to a run-off. If Mr. Karzai does prevail, alienating him will have only complicated the task of waging a campaign against the Taliban.

There is also the heavy whiff of politics in the administration's war deliberations. The president's senior political adviser, David Axelrod, apparently attends war cabinet meetings—something I did not do as President Bush's senior political adviser.

Mr. Obama's aides could be worried that by sending more troops to Afghanistan the White House will draw the fury of the left and lose support for its domestic agenda.

That fear is both dangerous and unnecessary. The president can retain liberal support for liberal domestic initiatives regardless of the war. And he can sustain support for the war by assembling a coalition of Democrats who want to win in Afghanistan, Democrats who would reluctantly follow their president— and almost every Republican.

It's vital that the president build this coalition because without decisive American leadership, international support for confronting terrorism will soon dissipate. The unraveling of Afghanistan and nuclear-armed Pakistan might not be far behind.

Mr. Obama is right to ask tough questions about Afghanistan. But he needs to act soon to defend vital American interests in a troubled region that gave safe haven to our enemies before 9/11. Decisive support of his previously announced strategy in Afghanistan is what is required.

Mr. Rove is a former senior Presidential adviser and deputy Whitehouse chief of staff.

online.wsj.com



To: longnshort who wrote (37854)10/26/2009 9:24:45 PM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
America Can't Afford the Intelligence Community’s Weaknesses
by Robert Maginnis

10/26/2009

President Obama faces very tough decisions. How to decide a strategy for Afghanistan and what to do about would-be atomic powers North Korea and Iran among them. But the president will probably not get the necessary and timely intelligence he needs to make these decisions because our intelligence community isn’t structured or given the tools it needs to deliver the best information.

The Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs seem to defy our intelligence community’s best efforts. Two years ago -- in a highly-publicized “National Intelligence Estimate” (NIE) -- our intelligence agencies mistakenly declared that Iran stopped its atomic weaponization program in 2003. We now know that assessment was wrong. Similarly, Pyongyang keeps surprising our intelligence community with atomic tests, enrichment programs and new missiles.

These crises continue to worsen which makes reliable and timely intelligence more important every day. Last week, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said, “Unless we act decisively and act now, the situation [with Iran] may deteriorate catastrophically and irreversibly.” Secretary of Defense Robert Gates was in South Korea where he said North Korea poses a grave threat to international peace and pledged the U.S. will maintain a nuclear deterrent in the region.

To understand these challenges presidents often turn to a National Intelligence Estimate, a compilation (to the lowest common denominator) of the consensus of the intelligence community’s views. But the NIE has a mixed record which should alert President Obama to proceed with caution. He must recognize intelligence’s limitations.

The NIE is the U.S. intelligence community’s most authoritative and coordinated assessment of national security issues. These documents cover a wide range of issues and most remain classified, but the few declassified reports paint a spotty picture.

Most older NIEs (on issues like Soviet capabilities and the Vietnam War) tended to be accurate, but there were some notable NIE failures. In 1963, the NIE failed to anticipate Russia would put missiles in Cuba. A 1973 estimate missed the Yom Kippur War and another in 1978 missed predicting the fall of the Shah of Iran. A year before he invaded Kuwait, a 1989 NIE estimated Saddam Hussein would not instigate military action for three years.

The terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 were not anticipated by an NIE (or any other intelligence that was sufficient to have allowed us to interdict the attacks). After the fact, Americans asked themselves how our expansive intelligence community missed all the indicators that al Qaeda was staging an assault.

The most controversial NIE in recent years was produced in 2002 to estimate Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) program. President Bush cited that estimate to make the case for war. The report said Iraq “is reconstituting its nuclear program” and “has chemical and biological weapons.”

But the 2002 Iraq NIE had serious flaws. A 2004 Senate Select Intelligence Committee report found that “most of the major judgments” were “either overstated, or were not supported by the underlying intelligence reporting.” The Senate committee said the report’s authors relied on old data, used old assumptions, failed to challenge conclusions and interpreted “…ambiguous evidence as conclusively indicative of a WMD program.” There was also a lack of reliable information from sources -- read spies -- inside Iraq. And even if there had been spies inside Iraq, most experts doubt that they would have been able to report any differently due to the very small circle that knew the truth about Iraqi WMD.

The Iraq NIE debacle influenced lawmakers to change the NIE production process. Congress required more interagency collaboration, mandated review of sources and inserted a process to force the agencies to explain their differences.

These changes failed the country when it came to drafting the 2007 NIE regarding Iran’s atomic program. That estimate asserted with “high confidence” that Tehran had “halted its nuclear weapons program” in 2003. But just last month the White House shocked the world with the revelation that Iran is building a secret military site to enrich uranium and the U.S. has known about that facility for years.

The claim that the U.S. has known about the secret site for years could suggest the 2007 NIE was wrong. It’s possible that site and other information about Iran’s secret weapons program were ignored by the NIE authors. But why would the authors ignore important facts? The Wall Street Journal claimed at the time that the NIE’s three chief authors were “hyper-partisan anti-Bush officials.” They allegedly wanted the report to have a “cooling effect” on the issue.

The 2007 estimate also put the U.S. at odds with its counterparts in Britain, Germany and Israel. The Wall Street Journal Europe reported that a May 2008 German intelligence report “showed comprehensively” that “development work on nuclear weapons can be observed in Iran even after 2003.” Even the United Nation’s nuclear watchdog agency, the International Atomic Energy Agency, concluded Iran “…has sufficient information to be able to design and produce a workable implosion nuclear device.”

Obviously, the NIE process needs improvement but that process is symptomatic of a troubled and under resourced intelligence system. Here are four changes that could improve it.

First, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) should resume responsibility for producing the NIE. Currently, the NIE ends up as the old joke that describes a camel as a racehorse built by a committee. The intelligence community’s 16 “equal” members are not really equal contributors. Only two of the members are analytic (the CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency), the others are data collectors who try to be analysts. Besides, the group process brings together competing organizational agendas, institutional equities and personal reputations.

The end product is slow to deliver and a heavily nuanced document full of ambiguities where it should be definite and definite when it should be couched in qualifications. In short, it is a political -- not an intelligence -- product.

Most importantly, intelligence “consumers” -- from the president on down, and including the chiefs of staff of the military services -- should regularly challenge the intelligence agencies on their findings. If the producers have to face tougher consumers, the product will have to improve.

Second, the office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) should be eliminated. The DNI is just another layer between the president and the intelligence organizations. He has more than 1,500 staff members who decide what the president sees and what analysis should be done. Yet, he has no authority to manage the community; move money or personnel. All intelligence organizations except the CIA are controlled by their respective department heads who report to the president.

Third, we need to improve our collection and analytic efforts. The Clinton administration gutted the clandestine service by grossly underfunding the agency and refusing to hire. The lack of experienced spies is a major shortfall which will take decades to fix. No wonder we are operating virtually blind in places like Iran and North Korea.

We have plenty of satellite imagery and electronic intelligence data but too few people to interpret it. These jobs require people with highly perishable technical skills. Unfortunately, many of these positions were permanently lost after the Cold War when the Army and Air Force virtually abandoned the imagery and listening business. That shortfall continues today.

The work load on our intelligence analysts is much larger than ever before. The advent of the Internet and growing demands of policy makers exponentially increased the volume of information the typical analyst must respond to or study. We either reduce their load or increase their numbers.

Finally, everyone must recognize that America’s openness is an intelligence liability. We should become more cautious about announcing our capabilities such as satellite paths posted on the Internet which cause our enemies to hide as our birds fly overhead. Remember it’s far easier and cheaper to create a countermeasure than to build a capability.

America needs the best intelligence possible to make tough decisions such as what to do about atomic weapons-seeking North Korea and Iran. It’s in our country’s best interest to re-assess the NIE process, dump or redesign the DNI, hire sufficient spies, analysts and technical interpreters and all Americans need to do a much better job of minimizing our intelligence liabilities.

PD

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mr. Maginnis is a retired Army lieutenant colonel, a national security and foreign affairs analyst for radio and television and a senior strategist with the U.S. Army.

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humanevents.com



To: longnshort who wrote (37854)11/15/2009 3:49:50 PM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Our 'Constitutional Moment' The New York newspaperman says our founding document is especially vital today, in an age of expanding state power.
NOVEMBER 13, 2009, 11:47 P.M. ET.

By JAMES TARANTO
New York

Seth Lipsky has a knack for seeing the bright side of things. A nearly 20-year veteran of this newspaper, including its editorial page, he cheerfully acknowledges the obvious: This is far from a golden age of free-market conservatism. Of President Obama, he tells me over lunch, "I sense that he has a very leftist, socialist-oriented worldview."

Yet this makes Mr. Lipsky anything but grim: "I for one find this very exciting. . . . We're just at a great moment."

Why? Because, he says, "America is in what I call a constitutional moment." Mr. Obama's efforts to expand government power raise basic questions about the constitutional limits of that power. "The enumerated-powers argument is enormous," Mr. Lipsky says. "It's just enormous, the ground that is open for contest here. . . . Right now, we're at a moment where we're not going to be able to turn to either the Congress or the executive branch for help on this." He believes "the only defense now, the only tool we have now, is the Constitution. That's why I call it a constitutional moment, as opposed to a political moment."

That makes it an auspicious moment for Mr. Lipsky's new book, "The Citizen's Constitution: An Annotated Guide." The U.S. Constitution is a brief document, taking up just 42 pages in a popular pocket-size edition from the Cato Institute. Mr. Lipsky expands it to 287 pages of 5 by 8 inches, by way of 327 lengthy footnotes in which he discusses each and every constitutional clause in the context of history, case law and current events. There are an additional 36 pages of bibliographic references, making it the only book I've seen in which the footnotes have endnotes.

Mr. Lipsky doesn't remember exactly when he thought of the idea, but he believes it was in the late 1980s. "I got into an argument over abortion and was talking to someone about the right to privacy," he recalls. "I looked at a pamphlet the government had issued with a text-only edition of the Constitution, and I realized I couldn't find the word 'privacy' in the Constitution. I began to think about a better edition." Mr. Lipsky's edition has an index, where the listing for "privacy, right to" directs the reader to the chapters on the Third, Ninth and 14th amendments.

As a newspaperman for 40-plus years—in addition to working for the Journal, he founded two papers of his own—Mr. Lipsky has built a career on the First Amendment. But his enthusiasm extends as well to the preamble, the original seven articles and the 26 other amendments.

For years I've been sending memos to people who worked for me—desk editors, reporters, editorial writers—constantly trying to raise their consciousness about the usefulness of the Constitution in editorial work," he says. "Usually these memos that I would send would be simple memos, like, 'Where the hell does the Congress get the power to do that?' or, 'The New York Sun will not carry a dispatch about the Second Amendment which does not quote Justice Story as saying the Second Amendment is the palladium of our liberties.'"

In 1968, after graduating from Harvard, Mr. Lipsky took a reporting job at the Anniston Star in Alabama. He was there just seven months before he was drafted and sent to Vietnam, but it was long enough to provide a formative experience. He visited Frank Johnson, then a federal district judge, who had been a member of the three-judge panel that ordered the desegregation of Montgomery buses after Rosa Parks's arrest. Johnson also presided over Lee v. Macon County, a school-desegregation case that began in 1963.

He told Mr. Lipsky about the trial: "The school board was ready to accede when Gov. [George] Wallace heard about it and ordered them not to. So Johnson gets [Wallace] into court, and he says, 'On what basis are you objecting to this order?' [The governor] says, 'Well, I'm the ex officio chairman of the state board of education, and under that authority, I'm telling them not to integrate the schools.'

"Johnson says, 'As ex officio chairman of the state board of education, you have the power to tell the school board of Macon County, Alabama, that they can't integrate the school?' And the governor says, 'Yes, your honor, I do.' The judge says, 'Well, then, I'm ordering you to integrate all 67 counties in Alabama.'"

In Vietnam, Mr. Lipsky worked as a combat reporter for Pacific Stars and Stripes. Returning to civilian life, he joined the Journal in Detroit, with later postings in Hong Kong, New York and Brussels. He left in 1990 to start an English-language weekly edition of the Forward, a venerable Yiddish newspaper. In 2002, he founded the daily New York Sun—or rather he revived it, the original Sun having folded in 1950. The new Sun attracted a small but influential readership and gave many aspiring writers their start. It ceased publication last year, although Mr. Lipsky and a small stable of writers still publish occasional stories at nysun.com.

The optimism that drove Mr. Lipsky to start a daily newspaper in the Internet age also informs his view of the prospects for American governance. "One of the wonderful things about the Constitution is that anybody can play," he says. "Ordinary people asking simple questions have affected the country in enormous ways using this document. . . . It's just astounding the way individual predicaments and problems are used by the [Supreme] Court to lay down broad principles in the country."

To prove his point, he cites examples from the 1930s, the 1960s and the current decade.

The 1935 case of Schechter Poultry Corp. v. U.S. was decided at a time when the liberal political juggernaut looked even more unstoppable than today. Mr. Lipsky describes the facts: Enforcing the National Industrial Recovery Act, which gave the president vast powers to regulate business, "government thugs went into the kosher butcher shop of the Schechter family in Brooklyn, and they arrested its proprietor on criminal charges."

Among the charges: permitting a housewife "to pick which chicken she wanted." This measure provoked some levity during oral arguments at the Supreme Court: "The judges are asking a question about, 'How is the housewife supposed to pick out her chicken when she can't look at it?' Schechter's lawyer reaches over his shoulder into an imaginary cage and starts pitching around for a chicken, and the Supreme Court started laughing."

The justices ruled unanimously in Schechter's favor and declared the act unconstitutional. "They ended the New Deal," Mr. Lipsky says. Then, with more feeling: "They ended the New Deal!" (This overstates the case somewhat. The court later upheld the Social Security Act and the National Labor Relations Act.)

Gideon v. Wainwright (1963) "involved this guy who was arrested in Florida for robbing a poolroom. He goes into the court and says, 'The Supreme Court says I have a right to a lawyer.' The judge says . . . something to the effect of, 'Not in the state of Florida, you don't.' He gets convicted; he gets sent to prison. While he's in prison, he goes to the prison library. This derelict basically writes an appeal to the Supreme Court . . . in pencil and paper—a pauper's petition that says, 'I have a right to a lawyer.' The Supreme Court notices it, assigns Abe Fortas"—who himself joined the court in 1965—"to defend him. He wins the right to a lawyer for everyone accused of a crime in America. The name of Clarence Earl Gideon will be remembered as long as there is a law."

Last year's District of Columbia v. Heller, in which the court held that the Second Amendment protects an individual right to own firearms, exemplifies Mr. Lipsky's point that the language of the Constitution retains its power even when long ignored. "We've had 200 years, and nothing's ever been done about this," he says. "For 50 of the 200 years, the New York Times has been sneering at the idea of an individual right, and everybody's been talking about how this right belongs to the 'militia.'"

Yet by carefully analyzing the language of the Second Amendment, the court cast aside that musty conventional wisdom. Mr. Lipsky, who describes himself as "a partisan of the plain-language school of the law," applauds not just the result but the method the justices, in an opinion by Antonin Scalia, employed to reach it: "They really get into the language. I mean, the actual grammar, the sentence structure, the subordinate and not-subordinate clauses, which—forgive me, but I've been arguing for a generation and a half as an editorial writer, the plain language of this thing is plain."

Although anybody can play, not everybody can win. In 2003, the high court ruled against Susette Kelo and allowed the city of New London, Conn., to seize her house under eminent domain and turn the land over to private developers.

It's just unbelievable, that case," Mr. Lipsky says—and all the more so in light of the latest development, or rather the lack of development. On Monday, Pfizer Inc., which was to have built offices on the now-barren site, announced that it was leaving New London altogether as part of a consolidation move.

Such disappointments notwithstanding, Mr. Lipsky's passion for the Constitution is a tonic for political depression. If ObamaCare does become law, to take an especially worrying example, it isn't hard to imagine a lot of Americans facing "individual predicaments," including threats to their lives from government rationing. It's some comfort to think they'll be able to petition for a stay—and to demand an answer to the question in that old Lipsky memo: "Where the hell does the Congress get the power to do that?"

Mr. Taranto, a member of The Wall Street Journal's editorial board, writes the Best of the Web Today column for OpinionJournal.com.

online.wsj.com