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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James Hutton who wrote (225875)10/23/2009 9:14:51 AM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
>>>I think the carry trade will keep pushing the dollar a lot lower.<<<

We are in total agreement. What is insightful about Roubini's comment is that so many have already piled in - and that they are all in the same trade....just like last year.

A while ago I attended a lecture on farming. It seemed that with the corn subsidies for ethanol, all farmers were planting nothing but corn (I exaggerate). The problem there is that if a bug, parasite, disease etc gets into the corn, it will spread across the country and wipe everything out. Just like last time with the Yen carry trade.

Wall Street ever learn???

I think I will stay in my crude longs for some time ... perhaps to $100 or $110. The Chinese do have the "wealth storage problem." I left a whole lot on the table last fall. Will be looking for shorting opportunities should we get back to $140. Very tough investing environment.