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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 10:57:07 AM
From: lorne1 Recommendation  Respond to of 224744
 
ken...China knows obama is lying..or at best he is not very smart.

Obama says U.S. economy moving in "right direction"
November 01, 2009
Source: Xinhua
english.people.com.cn

U.S. President Barack Obama gestures as he departs after playing basketball at Fort McNair in Washington, October 31, 2009. (Xinhua/Reuters Photo)

U.S. President Barack Obama said Saturday the U.S. economic recovery is moving "in the right direction" with a million jobs created or saved thanks to the government's stimulus policies.

"Today, I am pleased to offer some better news that -- while not cause for celebration -- is certainly reason to believe that we are moving in the right direction," the president said in his weekly radio address.

"We can see clearly now that the steps my administration is taking are making a difference, blunting the worst of this recession and helping to bring about its conclusion." Obama said.

The Commerce Department reported this week that the economy grew at a annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter after four consecutive quarters of contraction, signaling the economic recession that began in December 2007 was over.

Separately, the White House released a statement said the government's 787 billion dollars stimulus plan that was launched in February had saved or created more than 1 million jobs.

But critics said that since Obama took office in January, the economy has lost a net 3.4 million jobs.

The overall job losses in the United States have totaled 7.2 million since the downturn began in December 2007.

Unemployment rate hit a new 26-year high of 9.8 percent in September, with job losses reaching 263,000. Some analysts said that the October report due next week could show unemployment climbing to the double digit level.

While highlighting fresh signs of economic recovery, Obama also stressed that the country still has "a long way to go before we return to prosperity."

The Commerce Department reported Friday that consumer spending dropped 0.5 percent in September, the largest decline since December.

Many economists fear that due to the poor labor market, heavy debt loads and tight credit conditions, the U.S. economy could see a second downturn in the near future.

"We will likely see further job losses in the coming days," Obama said. "But we will not create the jobs we need unless the economy is growing."



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 11:01:15 AM
From: lorne1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 224744
 
Ken..it is the American citizen..taxpayer that ows the debt created by hussein obama, it is the citizen that must repay hussein obama's debt.

Up Against a Wall of Debt
How much can governments borrow?
Oct 29, 2009
newsweek.com

The idea that the government of a major advanced country would default on its debt—that is, tell lenders that it won't repay them all they're owed—was, until recently, a preposterous proposition. Argentina or Russia might stiff their creditors, but surely not the likes of the United States, Japan, or Great Britain. Well, it's still a very, very long shot, but it's no longer entirely unimaginable. Governments of rich countries are borrowing so much that it's conceivable that one day the twin assumptions underlying their burgeoning debt (that lenders will continue to lend and that governments will continue to pay) might collapse. What happens then? (Click here to follow Robert Samuelson).


The question is so unfamiliar that the past provides few clues to the future. Psychology is decisive. To take a parallel example: the dollar. The fear is that foreigners (and Americans, too) lose confidence in its value and dump it for yen, euros, gold, or oil. If too many investors do that, a self-fulfilling stampede could trigger sell-offs in U.S. stocks and bonds. People have predicted such a crisis for decades. It hasn't happened yet. The currency's decline has been orderly, because the dollar retains a bedrock confidence based on America's political stability, openness, huge wealth, and low inflation. But something could shatter that confidence, tomorrow or 10 years from tomorrow.

The same logic applies to exploding government debt. We have moved into uncharted territory and are prisoners of psychology. Consider Japan. In 2009, its budget deficit—the gap between spending and taxes—amounts to about 10 percent or more of gross domestic product (GDP). Its total government debt—the borrowing to cover all past deficits—is approaching 200 percent of GDP. That's twice the size of the economy. The mountainous debt reflects years of slow economic growth, many "stimulus" plans, an aging society, and the impact of the global recession. By 2019, the debt-to-GDP ratio could hit 300 percent, says a report from JPMorgan Chase.

No one knows how to interpret these numbers. If someone had predicted 20 years ago that Japan's government debt would rise so spectacularly, the forecast would doubtlessly have inspired alarms: "The debt will be unmanageable; Japan will pay crushing interest rates as fearful lenders demand high returns to compensate for the risk that government might default or inflate away its debt." Instead, just the opposite has happened. Japanese investors—households, banks, insurers—have absorbed 94 percent of the debt. Interest rates on 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) have dropped from 7.1 percent in 1990 to 1.4 percent now.

Superficially, it's possible to explain this. Japan has ample private savings to buy bonds; slight deflation—falling prices—makes low interest rates acceptable; and investors remain confident that new and maturing debt will be financed. But the correct conclusion to draw is not that major governments (such as Japan and the United States) can easily borrow as much as they want. It is that they can easily borrow as much as they want until confidence that they can do so evaporates—and we don't know when, how, or whether that may happen.

Wealthy societies everywhere face a similar dilemma. Debt is ballooning from already-high levels. In the United States, the Congressional Budget Office reckons the Obama administration's planned budgets would increase the debt-to-GDP ratio from 41 percent in 2008 to 82 percent in 2019. Annual interest payments on the debt would rise from $170 billion in 2009 to $799 billion in 2019. But to contain deficits and debt by cutting spending or increasing taxes would involve wrenching and unpopular measures that might, perversely, weaken the economy and worsen deficits. In Japan, the existing Value Added Tax (national sales tax) of 5 percent would have to go to 12 percent, says JP Morgan, along with deep spending cuts. Against choices like that, some advanced country might decide that a partial or complete default, though dire, would be less dire economically and politically than the alternatives.

Deprived of domestic or international credit, defaulting countries in the past have suffered deep economic downturns, hyperinflation, or both. The odds may be against a wealthy society tempting that fate, but even the remote possibility underlines the precariousness and novelty of our present situation. The arguments over whether we need more stimulus (and debt) obscure the larger reality that past debt increasingly constricts governments' room for economic maneuvering.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 11:02:28 AM
From: lorne3 Recommendations  Respond to of 224744
 
Stiglitz Says U.S. Recession ‘Nowhere Near’ End After GDP Jump
By Bob Willis
bloomberg.com

Oct. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph E. Stiglitz said the U.S. recession is “nowhere near” an end and the economy’s third-quarter growth rate of 3.5 percent, the first expansion in more than a year, won’t carry into 2010.

While this week’s figures on gross domestic product are “very good,” the numbers would be “miserable” without stimulus measures enacted by the Obama administration, Stiglitz said today at a forum in Shanghai. He urged the U.S. and other countries not to pull back on efforts to shore up economies.

“When we look at if workers can get jobs, if they can work full time, if businesses are able to sell goods they produce, in those terms, we are nowhere near the end of recession” in the U.S., said Stiglitz, 66, the former chief economist at the World Bank. The U.S. job market is still “in very bad shape.”

Federal assistance to the housing and auto industries helped propel growth in the July-September quarter. President Barack Obama, in his weekly radio address to the nation, today called the Oct. 29 report on GDP a “good sign” and said an expanding economy is the first step to job creation.

While most economists estimate the recession has ended, the National Bureau of Economic Research is responsible for determining when contractions begin and end. The Cambridge, Massachusetts, organization usually makes its recession pronouncement as long as a year and a half after the fact. The group defines a recession as a “significant” decrease in activity over a sustained period of time. The declines it measures would be visible in gross domestic product, payrolls, production, sales and incomes.

Surging Unemployment

The U.S. unemployment rate reached a 26-year high of 9.8 percent in September and economists project it will exceed 10 percent by early 2010.

“The unemployment rate is likely to go up,” Stiglitz told reporters two days earlier in Beijing. “Growth won’t be fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate.”

Stiglitz, a professor of economics at Columbia University in New York, said the growth rate of 3 percent to 3.5 percent needed to create enough jobs for new U.S. labor market entrants was unlikely to be sustained into next year.

It is too early for the U.S. and other countries to begin easing stimulus measures put in place a year ago to avert a financial market meltdown, Stiglitz said.

“For the world as a whole, it’s premature to think about exiting stimulus,” he said today in Shanghai. Stiglitz became a Nobel laureate in 2001, sharing the prize with George A. Akerlof and A. Michael Spence, both of the U.S., for their analysis of how markets function when buyers and sellers have different information about a product or service.

Curbing Stimulus

Around the world, central banks are paring emergency measures taken at the height of the financial crisis. The record $1.4 trillion budget deficit limits Obama’s options for more aid, Obama’s options for more aid, while Federal Reserve officials try to convince investors that the central bank will exit emergency programs in time to prevent a pickup in inflation.

Japan’s central bank said Oct. 30 that it will stop buying corporate debt at the end of the year. Australia this month became the first Group of 20 nation to raise rates since the height of the crisis, and Norway’s central bank followed.

In China, the State Council pledged Oct. 21 to continue monetary and fiscal stimulus even after the economy exceeded officials’ expectations for the first nine months of the year. Growth is likely to top the government’s 8 percent target for 2009, the central bank said this week.

U.S. economy’s third-quarter growth at a 3.5 percent annual rate followed four quarters of contraction that marked the worst performance in seven decades.

Obama, in his remarks, said “economic growth is no substitute for job growth.”



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 2:41:36 PM
From: Sedohr Nod4 Recommendations  Respond to of 224744
 
Rush did a very good job in that interview....it's refreshing seeing a guy talk about things he believes in without the aid of props.

It's a real shame that your guy can't do the same.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 3:51:20 PM
From: Hope Praytochange1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224744
 
As Jobs Vanish, Factory Towns Slow to See Stimulus
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: November 1, 2009
Filed at 3:21 p.m. ET

More Politics News
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Many communities hit hardest by job losses, those built around dying factories and mills, have been slowest to see relief from Barack Obama's stimulus plan, underscoring how hard it is for Washington policymakers to create lasting work in areas that need it most.

The manufacturing industry has shed hundreds of thousands of jobs during the recession as plants have closed or scaled back. Places such as the southwest Missouri city of Lamar, tucked amid endless fields of winter wheat and soybeans, have seen the cornerstones of their economies disappear, leaving a gap that even billions in roadwork and government aid cannot fill.

Lamar began feeling the recession ahead of the rest of the country, when the furniture-maker O'Sullivan Industries closed its doors in mid-2007, immediately leaving 700 workers unemployed and turning its factory into a million-square-foot vacancy.

That began what city manager Lynn Calton calls ''a slow death.'' Stores folded. A 50-year-old car dealership went under. One in 10 jobs disappeared last year. Everyone suffered, from the downtown florist to the dentist who cleaned the factory workers' teeth.

Even Mayor Keith Divine filed for unemployment when his furniture store went out of business. He now sells carpet and mattresses and says he hasn't seen evidence of the 640,000 jobs saved or created nationwide thanks to the $787 billion stimulus.

''What work? Where?'' Divine asks.

For the Obama administration, Lamar is as much a problem of expectations as it is of policy. For all the items contained in the stimulus, from tax cuts to road work to new schools, nothing could quickly replace what factory towns like Lamar had lost.

That's why the White House says it's unfair to judge the stimulus by the unemployment rate because no amount of stimulus was going to keep Lamar's unemployment rate from approaching 12 percent.

Nationwide, only 2,500 of the 640,000 stimulus jobs announced Friday were in the manufacturing industry, and many of those appear to be mislabeled. Teachers were the biggest winners because states used federal aid to fill budget gaps, then credited the money with avoiding layoffs -- even if no such layoffs were planned.

''We haven't seen any improvements in our town,'' said Gary Macklem, the mayor of Croswell, Mich., a small city in a county built on farming and factories, where unemployment has hovered just below 20 percent all year. ''We lost two factories and the other factories are hanging by a shoe string.''

One of the goals written into the stimulus was to help ''those most impacted by the recession.'' And there are provisions to do just that, from increasing unemployment and Medicaid benefits to paying for worker retraining. Places such as Croswell and Lamar also probably would have been worse off if their states had endured their budget crises without federal help.

And there are billions of dollars to upgrade the electrical grid and encourage alternative energy, an historic investment expected to spur manufacturing of wind turbines, solar panels and clean-running buses.

''Will the stimulus program by itself turn around the decades-long decline in that sector? Of course not,'' said White House economic adviser Jared Bernstein. ''But it will help, and it will help in some of the most key areas, where manufacturing can shift from contracting to expanding.''

Such benefits are harder to see than a job and a paycheck. In manufacturing towns, those have been difficult to create. When they appear, they're not what the town is used to.

O'Sullivan Industries was the kind of company that hired kids right out of high school, a company where workers could eventually pull down $16 an hour and work overtime when the plant was running six days a week. Some employees had been there for 30 or more years. People who wanted to start a family and put down roots in their hometown could go get jobs at O'Sullivan.

The stimulus can't create those types of jobs, at least not directly and not right away. So despite Lamar's need, the county saw just 22 jobs from the stimulus. They are temporary positions working on a local highway project, not the kind of thing someone from O'Sullivan could easily walk into.

''They were building ready-to-assemble furniture. Somebody out there pouring concrete is a whole different job,'' said Calton, the city manager. ''I don't know if those people were able to get on with someone doing a highway project.''

They weren't. The highway contract went to a company that brought in crews from hours away.

Those workers count themselves as lucky, but already fear what may come next. One man has a toddler and said he'll take dishwashing jobs to get by once the stimulus project is over. Word down at the union hall is that things haven't been this bad in 10 years.

''You put your name on the list, and you're No. 90 or No. 106,'' said Bob Williams, who has worked construction since 1968. ''You ain't going to work tomorrow.''

In Monroe County, Ala., Georgia-Pacific Corp. idled its plywood mill this year, leaving 300 workers without jobs. In August, Fruit of the Loom closed its dye plant, laying off more than 100.

These were good jobs with benefits and retirement plans, said Mike Kennedy, the mayor of the county seat of Monroeville, the childhood home of author Harper Lee and the likely inspiration for the town in her book ''To Kill a Mockingbird.''

Unemployment is approaching 19 percent and the city budget is strained. Kennedy said he's hoping to receive stimulus money to make buildings more energy efficient. That would create some jobs.

But so far, Monroeville has seen just 8 jobs from the stimulus, according to the latest data.

''We got stimulus money to build sidewalk,'' Kennedy said.

------

Juozapavicius contributed to this report from Lamar, Mo.

^------

On the Net:

Stimulus spending by industry and county: bit.ly



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (74461)11/1/2009 4:38:33 PM
From: Carolyn1 Recommendation  Respond to of 224744
 
Good for them!