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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: elmatador who wrote (57326)	11/2/2009 7:53:36 AM
From: carranza2	12 Recommendations Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 217786

Being a serious student of Latin American history, I daresay I understand the Brazilian mindset better than you. The endless historical pattern is one involving great promise followed by utterly destructive caudillismo or decades of military repression. Argentina, Chile, Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil, etc., have all been caught up in this toxic historical cycle for literally centuries. And I see it being played out as we speak. Brazil is in its 'great promise' cycle. Will it screw things up like it did after Quadros? Military rule is not that distant in its history. Who knows, we will see. That is why am skeptical of Brazil's resurgence. It may or may not have legs, but until I see the cycle definitively broken, I am reserving judgment. Brazil has serious problems you do not acknowledge because your vision is limited. Incredible crime, incredible poverty and incredible corruption are the toxic elements that lead to repression and caudillismo. The elements to frustrate Brazil's progress are clearly in place, whether or not you recognize them. All the cheerleading in the world will not change those facts. Brazil, contrary to your beliefs, is far from being some sort of Paradise. As I said, it is in its 'potential' cycle, again, but whether its problems overwhelm it remains to be seen. I remember well the 'potential' cycle Mexico went through after the discovery of enormous amounts of oil in the late 1970s followed by a horrific bust, I remember Quadros and Pinochet, I've studied early 20th century Argentina, etc., etc. I look around and I see Chavez and what is happening in Ecuador, and I tell myself, "more of the same." And that is why I am skeptical and refuse to join your "Brazil is the leader of the New Global Age" bandwagon. You would do well to study some history.