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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (24232)11/13/2009 3:23:54 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71463
 
No it didn't. Soviet Union did not have a stock market.
During 1998 currency crisis the stock market existed,
and it crashed, from something like 700 to something like
100. By July 1999 the index was back at 800 (in rubles),
exceeding 1997 high. By 2000 it was at 1500. In 2006 RTS
index reached 10,000. The 00-s was a decade
of rapid growth, though, as opposed to the early 90-s, when
the real GDP got cut in half. The RTS went up 5-fold even in
dollars.

The comparison with the US is not particularly valid, but the
point is that the crisis here is not over, because of major
structural deficiencies that exist in the economy. The worst
should come during reform, as these structural issues are
resolved.

The true boom will come after that. Printing does not resolve
structural issues, it may be contributing to these instead.
The bloated shadow banking system that was pumped with money,
not reformed, can't take us out of the economic crisis,
really an issue of US consuming too much and producing too
little.