To: Kevin Ameling who wrote (7325 ) 11/2/1997 11:10:00 PM From: Scott H. Davis Respond to of 14328
Thoughts on the market non response. TRIBY did have record revenues, but only met estimates. I've seen a lot of companies fall back despite moderate positive EPS surprises this fall. TRIBY still has a miniscule market cap, and at under 3.00, hardly any fund will touch them. The market can be slow to forgive a disapointment, and the slowness in submissions and FDA slow response was a disapointment. I agree with the with other contributors assessments of the solid foundation and product positioning being built by TRIBY. But based on current fundimentals, it is not undervalued. quote.yahoo.com still shows it with -.02 EPS. WSRN still shows it with a - PM, ROE/ROA. So since it does not work yet as a value play, can't attract funds, and only one analyst following it does not leave TRIBY with a very large pool of investors to interest - today. compare this to a couple micro cap networking stocks I hold EQNX and SBEI. I choose these since their stock fell significantly on disapointments last year, and eventhough they posted a couple better qtrs, the stock price took a long time to recover, but recover they did once the market say enough tangible evidence to support the potential. But looking at the fundimentals today Ask EPS (12 month) PE projected PE curr. qtr/share price TRIBY 2.62 -.02 N/A .0072 EQNX 16.75 .88 18.21 14.83 .0179 SBEI 14.38 .02 18.42 16.47 .0185 Conclusion, don't expect a major jump until either a great anouncement, or TRIBY makes enough progress to show positive balance sheet ratios - EPS, PE, PM. ROA, ROE. Look at what small and mid cap value funds have done this year compared to growth funds. The market still has a value bent. IMO, Scott (patiently long) Remember ISIP and VICL are both still well down from their peaks. They won't challenge old highs either without great news or fundimentals either.