To: Richard Haugland who wrote (10110 ) 11/1/1997 9:57:00 PM From: Dave Chanoux Respond to of 12298
Richard, it is nice to be able to respond to you after all you have contributed here. In my own analysis, I have assumed a 25% tax rate. While this rate is subject to many variables (see below), I use it as a plug because the income statement which uses a 0% or very small tax rate is only short term as the tax loss carry-forward will eventually expire (I hope). 25% is based on the tax rate the company reported way back in the late 80's. I acknowledge that the business model may have changed substantially since then, but if anyone has a better rate, let me know the basis for it. The tax rate varies based on many factors. Here are some random thoughts: 1. The company is currently investing and reaps a first year investment tax credit based on capital expenditures, reducing tax obligations slightly. I assume that at least some of the investment is domestic (pretty solid assumption based on reports). 2. Income can be distributed between domestic and foreign to some extent based on cost distribution between foreign and domestic. Tax rates differ, foreign/domestic. 3. The tax holiday in the far east extends through 1998 as I understand it (I assume calendar year 1998). The company can defer taxes by pushing more income to the far east subsidiaries. There are limits. Someone else reported here that 74% of FY97 income is treated as domestic. I don't have any idea what the tax rate will be after the tax holiday expires, but if higher than the domestic rate, the comany will push the income back to domestic. 4. I assume that the tax loss carry-forward was consumed in FY97 and am somewhat surprised that the FY97 unaudited income statement released on 10/23 did not report a larger tax liability. There was no tax liability listed on the balance sheet, implying it is in the "other current liability" category. I would not be surprised to see an audited statement with tax liability in excess of the $2Million reported on 10/23. (Then again, I would not be surprised the other way either!). 5. Remember I am an electrical engineer and don't know anything about this stuff! Regards, Dave Chanoux