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To: prometheus1976 who wrote (817)	11/28/2009 10:50:38 AM
From: John McCarthy	Respond to of 1182

p1976 I understand your point. No argument. But my goal here is to "make a salad". I am trying to GRAB all the various forecasts about -- future gold prices -- interest rates -- currency values -- high debt to GDP countries and stick them here so that I can "find" them in 1 spot. Where I am at is here: (a) Lots of "good" posters have indicated and stated that the gold run up - in large part - is due to 1 thingie. That 1 thingie is the "dollar carry-trade" Well - it is true that there is a "dollar carry-trade" it is true that it maybe enormous ..... i.e. much bigger than the yen dollar-trade (note - I have no real numbers to measure this by) BUT a)-- what about India? b)-- what about the Euro Central Banks? c)-- what about China and Russia? d)-- what about gold supply going forward? e)-- what about the seasonality of gold? why are they acquuiring gold in the face of a current "dollar carry-trade" and (it) maybe enormous ..... are they ((a)(b)(c)(d)) just NUTS? Jon Nadler (in my thinking) is going out of his way to trash gold. Why? Defnition of Trash: Target some facts - ignore others. In closing I think there will be more "ducking the issue" - contradictions as you have pointed out. regards John