To: Bread Upon The Water who wrote (26068 ) 12/1/2009 10:23:08 AM From: Land Shark Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36917 Arctic ice melt could raise sea levels faster than predicted Tuesday, December 1st, 2009 | 3:10 am Canwest News Service Sea levels could rise more than twice as fast as previously predicted due to melting ice caps around the South Pole, according to the most comprehensive study into how climate change is affecting the Antarctic. Earlier research underestimated the impact, partly because a cooling in the region due to a hole in the ozone layer had so far offset global warming. However, that effect will soon end, according to the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, which found ice was already melting in the West Antarctic. By the end of the century water flowing into the oceans from Antarctica, Greenland and land glaciers such as the Himalayas will cause a sea-level rise of more than 1.4 metres. This is well above the most widely accepted estimate of 59 centimetres. If temperatures continue to increase in the next 200 to 500 years, sea levels could rise by as much as six metres as more of Antarctica melts, the study indicated. In Britain, the low-lying east coast, from Lincolnshire to the Thames estuary, will be affected and "storm surges," which cause flooding around the coast and large rivers, will have a much greater impact. Dr. Colin Summerhayes, from the committee, said cities such as London, San Francisco and New York could be affected, although they should be able to build defences. He said developing countries, where millions of people live in low-lying areas, were more likely to suffer. "Anybody living in coastal cities needs to be slightly worried by projections of one metre or more," he said. The previous study by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change did not include Antarctica because scientists believed it was impossible to measure melting ice in the region. However, data from satellites and ice-core studies allowed scientists to model the effects of warming on the Antarctic. A key part of the study was the impact of the hole in the ozone layer. Prof. John Turner, of the British Antarctic Survey, said the hole, which caused a change in wind patterns, had only temporarily protected Antarctica from warming. Rules outlawing the chemicals that damaged the ozone meant the hole should "heal" and temperatures were likely to rise, he said. – - -