Stephen, The Financial Times is coming out with a series on new treatments by Biotechs. The first article came out on Thursday. It also mentions Bill Gates and Biotechs:
The genetic revolution: Gene is out of the bottle
THURSDAY OCTOBER 30 1997
Clive Cookson and Daniel Green on the progress and implications of the genetic revolution
Ten years ago, Bill Gates read a book called Molecular Biology of the Gene by James Watson, co-discoverer of the structure of DNA. Microsoft's chairman quickly made sure that a slice of his enormous personal wealth was invested in biotechnology companies. It has taken the rest of the world rather longer to work out that genetic research is about to make a profound difference to our lives. Now, after false alarms and false dawns, the revolution is gathering pace.
Silicon chips that scan your genes, and devices that change them in your body, are no longer science fiction. They are in research and development in university and corporate laboratories in Europe and the US. In the US, 180 clinical trials involving changing patients' genes are under way.
"Genetics research will have the most significant effect on our health since the microbiology revolutions at the end of the 19th century," says John Bell, Nuffield Professor of Medicine at Oxford University.
And not only on people's health. Genetic advances will bring challenges to the conduct of life, from employment practices to insurance and lifestyle. Some companies, for example, may demand genetic tests before offering people jobs or insurance cover. Others could offer genetic treatments that promise to, for example, make children taller.
Genetic knowledge will affect the way people see themselves, although quite how is not clear. We may take a more fatalistic attitude to life, blaming everything on our genes. Or we may, on the contrary, become aware of the limits to "genetic predetermination" and see how much freedom of action we have.
This explosion of genetic research is being fuelled by thousands of scientists spending billions of dollars of public and private money in hundreds of laboratories around the world. Their endeavour, known as the Human Genome Project, is by far the biggest research effort in the history of biology.
Its aim is to work out the structure and sequence of the genome: the DNA that provides the blueprint for a human being. The loosely co-ordinated international project was launched in 1990 with a target date for completion of 2005. Unlike most big science projects, it is running more or less on schedule - partly because the private sector's involvement has been much greater than originally expected. By 2005 any scientist will be able to read the complete sequence of 3bn chemical "letters" in the human genome, including an estimated 80,000 genes, the basic units of heredity.
Doctors and patients will not have to wait that long, however, before genetics makes a difference. Already several thousand genes are known precisely and partial information is available on many thousands more. Once the sequence of a gene is known, a scientist can usually work out what it does, because the genetic code translates DNA into a protein - the type of molecule that does all the work in the body, from building muscles to carrying messages between brain cells.
Knowing how individual genes work, however, is just the start of genomics and perhaps the sole part of the enterprise that is beyond controversy. Relatively few people suffer from diseases arising from a single faulty gene, such as cystic fibrosis (CF) and Huntington's chorea.
To bring genomic discoveries into the medical mainstream and tackle the vast majority of diseases, scientists will have to find out how large numbers of genes work together with environmental factors to cause the most common intractable diseases of modern society: cancer, heart disease, auto-immune diseases such as arthritis, diabetes and Crohn's, mental illness and degenerative brain diseases such as Alzheimer's.
The genetic component in these complex chronic diseases varies but it seems often to be between one-third and two-thirds of the cause. The other part comes from a variety of other factors including diet, infection - and sheer bad luck.
The practical application of this kind of knowledge falls into three categories: diagnosis, treatment and prevention.
Diagnosis Some diagnostic tests are available now, and hint at what is likely to be developed over the next few years.
In the UK, for example, the only ones on sale identify carriers of the CF gene; they are supplied by two private companies, University Diagnostics of London and Leeds Antenatal Screening Service, at a cost of about œ100 each. The tests are intended mainly for couples planning to have children. If both parents are positive, each child has a 25 per cent chance of being born with the disease; they can follow up with an ante-natal test.
Tests of this sort identify "recessive disorders", in which the disease develops only when a mutation in a single gene is inherited from both parents. They are the least controversial type, because a carrier of one defective gene will not become ill. Even here, however, there may be an adverse psychological effect - and potential implications for insurance and employment, both for the individual being tested and their family.
Genetic tests that predict the future health of an individual are more problematic. These include tests for relatively rare diseases, with a single mutation as a cause; examples range from Huntington's, a devastating brain disorder, to inherited high cholesterol levels.
But the most important type of predictive test looks for mutations - or collections of mutations - that predispose people to develop common diseases such as cancer, Alzheimer's or heart disease. Early examples of these are already available, for example, to test women for susceptibility to breast cancer.
It may seem perverse to take a genetic test when there is no guarantee of contracting the disease nor an effective treatment. But for people with a known family history of inherited disease, the knowledge itself may be useful, says Theresa Marteau, director of the psychology and genetics group at London's United Medical and Dental Schools. A negative result obviously brings relief, but a study of people with a 50 per cent risk of getting Huntington's disease showed that even a positive test could lower stress levels by reducing uncertainty.
The benefits of testing are clearer when there is something you can do about a positive result. If a young woman has genetic susceptibility to breast cancer, she can undergo more frequent screening to detect signs of cancer at an early stage when it is likely to be cured - or she may take the more extreme step of having preventive surgery to remove her breasts before cancer appears.
On the other hand, it would be pointless - though technically feasible - to take a test today for genetic susceptibility to Alzheimer's disease. In the first place, the inheritance patterns and causation for this form of dementia are not clear enough for people to know from their family history that they are at high risk. And, more importantly, there is no known preventive action to reduce the chance of the disease developing.
The big pharmaceutical and diagnostics companies are so far avoiding the controversial field of testing for diseases yet to be contracted. They are concentrating research on genetic tests to discover what type of disease the patient has, once symptoms have appeared, so that the most appropriate drug may be prescribed. This field, known as pharmacogenomics, should improve the treatment of many diseases, from cancers to diabetes.
Already, "gene-chips" are on sale. These are made of silicon, like computer chips, but as well as the electrical circuits they have fragments of DNA on them to detect mutations in a gene. A computer provides a read-out when a mutation is detected. Affymetrix, a Californian company, is already supplying or working on chips to test for mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 cancer genes, another cancer gene called p53, and in HIV, the virus that causes Aids.
Treatment Dozens of biotechnology companies are developing ways of changing genes - gene therapy - with 180 clinical trials already authorised by the US Food and Drug Administration. The problem they face is how to get the gene, in the shape of a specific piece of DNA identified through the Human Genome Project, into the body's cells in such a way that it produces a protein. Trials so far have not been very successful, but confidence is high.
"I am convinced that the obstacles facing gene therapy are only technical and will be overcome," says Ed Scolnick, head of research and development at Merck, the largest US drugs company.
Prevention Current trials are designed to change the genes in only a few cells, such as the lung cells in a CF sufferer. More dramatic is the possibility that sperm and egg cell genes could be changed, which would affect every cell in the body of anyone descended from those cells.
Such "germ-line" therapy could prevent diseases but also open the way for abuses such as parents "designing" their children. So far, scientists, ethical bodies and governments have lined up to condemn the idea, although critics of gene therapy argue that new genes targeted at ordinary cells could accidentally find their way into germ cells.
The consequences of genomics are already upon us. They present opportunities for unprecedented medical advances. And that will be only the start.
It is likely that changes over the next decade as a consequence of genetic knowledge will affect our lives as directly as has the information technology revolution in the past 10 years.
This is the first in a series on genetics. Later articles will look at the science involved, the commercial aspects and the ethical and policy issues raised. |