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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RetiredNow who wrote (14619)12/5/2009 10:48:49 AM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86356
 
No, you didn't understand my point.

Show an example of climate models under-estimating ACTUAL warming. That means a climate model that predicted X amount of warming by X date and ACTUAL temperature records show greater ACTUAL warming occurred in the REAL WORLD in that period.

This can't be done. Because in fact all climate model predictions made in the past have over-estimated the warming that has actually occurred since the predictions were made.

The site you linked to simply claims that past models are under-estimating FUTURE warming:

"The upshot of the study…is that forecasts of future warming could be severely underestimating the extent of the problem that lies in store ..."

If climate models are under-estimating FUTURE warming, they ought to have been under-estimating past and current warming too. They haven't.

climateaudit.org