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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/10/2009 9:50:50 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217549
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(1) back to money rock hk, and catching up tale of three sovereigns

bloomberg.com
China Factory Output Rises 19.2%, More Than Forecast

bloomberg.com
Tankan May Show Japan Recovery Is ‘Slipping Into a Standstill’

bloomberg.com
Obama Cites ‘Hard Truth’ of War’s Necessity in Accepting Nobel

basically, imo, china is back in price inflation mode, a easier game to game than that of price deflation, all thanks to its leadership's sincere fright, electorates genuine power, low debt, high prospect, and so brighter horizon.

(2) off-loaded a riff-raff rag-tag group of residual shares at aggregate breakeven but many individual losses, so as to be lighter still in share allocation and prepare for replay of DUEED (dollar up everything else down)

Norther Dynasty Mineral CAD 8.71
ICICI Bank Sp.ADR USD 37.40
Uranium One CAD 3.07
Bunge USD 63.33
Enerplus Res CAD 23.37
Agnico Eagle Mines USD 63.00
Opti Canada CAD 2.10
Oilsands Quest USD 1.13
Connacher Oil & Gas CAD 1.12

(3) positioned troops in new staging base camp, weapons ready, defcon 5 readiness, to engage at opportune moment with precious political au, popular monetary ag, and new era strategic pt metals

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/17/2009 9:56:52 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217549
 
hello pezz, today's report:

just out of send-tray -

i have commited a scripture sin. i off-loaded 90% of certificate gold (edit: purchased at this juncture Message 25505864 @ hk$ 8,632/tael w/ tael = 1.2 oz) to recognize and secure a well deserved and average 22% ytd gain, to lower my aggegate physical gold's cost basis by 365/oz (now cost basis, after netting, is about 400, or below extraction cost), even as i was just as prepared to use leverage and quintuple same certificate gold and different paper platinum as well as formless silver holdings just a few hours ago. i do not know what i am doing, and i do not wish to know what i have or will do, for i just want to survive and speculate another day.

forgive me, fellow travellers, for now all my gdx are covered with calls, just about all paper gold are gone, and i cower on my physical pile, much like that lawyer character in jurassic park, attempting to avoid a dino sashimi fate by sitting on toilet in grass hut.


i can now much sleep easier, and hope to re-engage with paper gold at a more opportune moment - again, to partake in the goodness of the market arena.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/17/2009 8:36:10 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Respond to of 217549
 
Hello pezz, Last Night’s Report:

<<today's report bought back some NLST for 4.70 (actually LESS than i sold it)>>

consider off-loading nlst for a quick gain finance.yahoo.com

After I sold down Message 26184366 90% of my paper gold position during Money Rock HK trading hours before lunch, which took about two hours in repeated input of max-allowed on-line instruction amounts :0) I did below:

(i) Enjoyed a good lunch of pot stickers lightly coated with chili sauce
(ii) Attended 3:30pm “Avatar” showing youtube.com ; the dialogue is corny, but the movie is visually spectacular and spiritually uplifting, premised on central theme that imperialism must be extinguished. Recommended, the movie and its premise.
(iii) Chaired the property club investors’ yearend dinner at the Maison 1882 Residence Jean-Paul timeout.com.hk
(iv) offloaded the last 10% of my paper gold (gld) that I was not able to unload during the earlier HK offloading.

I am now positioned just so:

cash @ 23.73% (hkd/usd 16.9%, cad 6.1%, euro/chf/rmb 0.73%)

bonds @ 2.16%

physical metals @ 17.49% (50/50 au/pt value at 1100/1400 mark to mark, 56/44 au/pt in oz term, w/ gold cost basis at 404).

certificate metals @ effectively 0% now. paper gold was at 15.71% to physical at 17.49%.

the now effectively closed paper gold trade was a substantive trade deliberated/executed in march and was explicitly targeted to materially lower the cost basis of physical gold holdings so that still more physical can be engaged with underpinned by healthy psychology.

in on-line unreal tournament war scenario terms, i think of the trade as a recon in force, to flush out the enemy positions (discover interim trading band), strengthen own stance (lower physical cost basis and harden psychology), so that full formation can charge forth to do real savaging wet work.

rental real estate @ 40.17%

equity @ 16.45% (energy 3.6%, gold mining 5% all obligated by covered calls, others at 7.85%)

i figure i will re-engage with certificate gold at 1030 and below, maybe as paced for as low as 900, and would concurrently engage with certificate platinum and silver; and the next round may involve leverage upto 50% of my overall nav, because it may be time.

tout ou rien :0)

Cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/18/2009 7:58:03 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217549
 
Hello Pezz, Last Night’s Report:

Just a few book-keeping chores of the score-keeping sort, to count blessings and track bounties, in addition to the earlier counting Message 26186238 of blessings

(i) This trade 2009 10 02 Message 25989982 <<i sold a lot of covered call contracts gold miner etf (gdx) december strike usd 43 @ usd 3.50+, thus committing 65% of my gdx holdings to a bearish wager, and had the proceeds placed on usd call deposit, believing that while the usd is worth-less, it is not worthless, at least not yet, and certainly not before onset of 2010>>

… is now closed with 65% of my gdx called away at 43. Together with the 3.50 call premium earlier collected, altogether a fair trade, and now I am positioned to short puts, massively, at an opportune moment;

(ii) This trade 2009 10 20 Message 26034296 <<(i) shorted a lot of gdx dec covered call strike 48 @ 3.00 …
(iii) sold a bunch of gdx at 47.51 … a bit longer on us dollar and slightly shorter on everything else, before it becomes again fashionable>>


… is partly closed, with me booking the 3/shr premium as obligation-free and someone else booking a loss. This is altogether a more fair trade than above (i) while also serve to enhance the overall result of above (i) more favorable, in my direction, and thus fairer.

(iii) Again this trade 2009 10 20 Message 26034296 , part two <<(ii) shorted a lot of gdx march covered call strike 50 @ 4.30>>

… we must wait and shall see whether and how I am to be rewarded.

(iv) The good things about closure are (i) one get to do the deed again, (ii) in better psychology than before.

Ideally, gdx drops to 43 at some juncture before mid-march, allowing me to short some puts at rich premium take, exit the calls at profitable turn. Then I can reload a series of trades to harness the energy of the market place once again, and also setting traps here and laying mines there so that some straggler in the unreal tournament is excused from the last man standing game.

Oh, and yes, hopefully the dollar also ramps, ramps, and ramps some more, to soften up the positions that must be engaged with, captured, held, to better wait for the … eh, I best stop and not get too graphic.

(v) Once the underpinning premise is discerned correctly, the rewards just keeps rolling in, as one harness the energy of the market to and exchange fro, in alignment with the force, choreographed like one of those gravity-defying unreal tournnament warriors of last man staanding gaming, fluid motioned, beautiful, cart wheeling, spinning mid-air, scoring :0)

I best stop, else I would be punished, for I am fearful of the scriptures, all of them, and fear is healthy, panic is rational, terror is delicious :0)

Cheer, tj



To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/22/2009 6:07:36 PM
From: TobagoJack3 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217549
 
hello pezz, last night's report

(a) by the looks of it i may have, serendipitously, sidestepped an anti-gold bullet and ann anti-silver bazooka;

a good thing, for now, but now the fretting must start once again, as i soul-search on top-of-mind and front-of-coconut issue, "when to start re-engaging with certificate gold off-loaded without much ceremony here Message 26186238 and pondered on here Message 26188679 , and when to engage with script silver and paper platinum so as to repent and seek salvation once again?"

(b) i am fully cognizant that any optimal window to re-engage with certificate gold, script silver, and paper platinum may likely be quite narrow, because the precious, monetary, and strategic elements are all trading in context of pre-greatest-ever-bubble secular-bull market that be

(i) underpinned by billions of savers in all parts of our very small planet terrified by global ZIRP and galaxy-wide fiat money inflation,

(ii) powered by the release of great energy and emptying of fantabulous treasury of the old empire as well as the death rattle of the imperial land of the setting sun, and

(iii) enhanced by the energizing arrival of the new middle kingdom

(c) headlines such as commodityonline.com "Platinum frenzy grips China" alarm me, for i suspect the force is strong and gaining.

(d) even as i believe the usd DUEED bounce still has some ommph to go, holding usd is not different, for a saver, from holding fatally toxic waste

off on island holiday starting 26th, and expect holiday season market surprise, because it is healthy to expect such whenever i go on holidays.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (58747)12/24/2009 4:26:44 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217549
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) i could not help myself, feeling the palpable sense of impending financial disaster somewhere for someone by some strange ways, and so i sought salvation by engaging with 1/3 of all the paper gold i had earlier sold (sold at hk$ 10,434/tael), paying my dues at hk$ 10,197/tael (1 tael = 1.2 oz).

i guess my earlier sell was not as sincere as i had figured, and my current buy is not as heart felt as i normally would be.

zig, zag, to, fro, up, down

what fun :0)

(ii) packing, getting ready for decamping island hong kong immediately after christmas to camp at another island, and while here busy ...



... will visit german friend who has made a life on this more desolate island's beach (45min away, 1.4 hectares, including half of the beach, for us$ 20,000 12 years ago) with his chinese wife and two kids ...



and yes, we are bringing sunglasses along, but not much clothing, mainly three changes of swim wear, and something more suitable for the plane trip.

a canadian friend and his family will join us on the cliff abode, and they may go into cultural shock, from the cold to the hot, and converting from daily apples to hour mango shakes :0)

happy holidays, tj